Predict my Boston Marathon time

Missing those long runs and high mileage weeks over the last six weeks will hurt you. The 6 x 400m workout is pretty meaningless, IMHO. Tough to predict. You should have some residual strength but I get the impression you're not the same runner who ran 16:50 in November. I'd go out at 1:25 and see what happens. If the wind is blowing and the strength isn't there, Newton will eat your lunch. On the other hand, you might feel great and pop one.

Probably 2:55-3:03ish.

bhoworld wrote:

Probably 2:55-3:03ish.

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I'm not too optimistic. I'm being realistic, and I'd gladly take a 2:50-anything at this point.

I expect to boink, but just want to feel as good as possible for as long as possible so I won't be walking

No matter what, at this point, I expect my 2nd half to me at least 8-15 minutes slower than the 1st half.

30 marathons, 21 under 2:36, and I think this may be my last.

I say, based on all info, 2:50 on a good day, and 3:00 if it's cold, rainy and you do not run well.

I hope you run well.

2:12:34

Gmasterrunner wrote:

No matter what, at this point, I expect my 2nd half to me at least 8-15 minutes slower than the 1st half.

30 marathons, 21 under 2:36, and I think this may be my last.

No matter what people say - start slow! Yes, the first miles are downhill and everything but if you are lacking miles those could beat you up. Why not start at 1h30m for the half and I think you have a goodshot at sub3.

Oh and that "last" BS, I have heard it too many times. Never believe it.

DNF

Gmasterrunner wrote:

No matter what, at this point, I expect my 2nd half to me at least 8-15 minutes slower than the 1st half.

30 marathons, 21 under 2:36, and I think this may be my last.

And you wanted to go out as a whiny little attention whore.....congratulations.

Yerp wrote:

DNF

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50/50

Good luck G-man.

I hope I am running sub 3's in mylate 30's not to mention 40's let alone, turning 50. Sounds like you have had some good ones.

just run wrote:

Gmasterrunner wrote:

No matter what, at this point, I expect my 2nd half to me at least 8-15 minutes slower than the 1st half.

30 marathons, 21 under 2:36, and I think this may be my last.

And you wanted to go out as a whiny little attention whore.....congratulations.

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From what I have been reading, you seem to be the little whining biiiitch. What's wrong??? Poor baby seeing somebody older, running faster than you? Aw, pooor baby!

I'll take those times when I'm that age. And, I'll beat punks like you when I do.

All true. You can negative split if you have enough energy to push the last five (and if the wind is not hammering you then). The notion that this is the last is susceptible to repetition. Good luck!

sponge wrote:

All true. You can negative split if you have enough energy to push the last five (and if the wind is not hammering you then). The notion that this is the last is susceptible to repetition. Good luck!

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Thank you. At one time, I thought I'd be one of those people who ran 100 marathons. Now I can't even imagine that. Especially when I'm 22 miles into one.

I say it's my last because I just don't have the desire or drive anymore, and my body certainly does not want the 60+ mpw over and over in the cold northeast weather. I get injured now when I go over 60 mpw for several weeks in a row. I seem to be healthier at 40 or 35 mpw. So I guess 5k's and 5 milers are all I have left. That's ok with me....for now.

No more rain in the forecast, with 48 degrees. Perfect. I say 2:46

Rombus wrote:

No more rain in the forecast, with 48 degrees. Perfect. I say 2:46

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I wish...

As they said in Waterboy: "You can do it!"

2:03:38............at 20 miles.........last 10k in 55min.2:59change

i predict redsoxfan sleeps with his mother on marathon monday