Hi
Yup, you're right. It's a real difficult debate, one that I'm sure will rage on as to whether his advantage ever outweighs the disadvantage - it's like a "he said, she said" argument, with maybe no prospect for a winner! But the ability to maintain the speed for so long without slowing down suggests that of the two possibilities (advantage of the limbs vs disadvantage to the limbs), it is more likely there is an advantage. And yes, it may be smaller or equal to his disadvantage, that's near impossible to prove, but one can't allow a technical device to give any advantage, according to the rules (I know you're all thinking what about other uses of technology - true, but also available to all).
But I must just emphasize the point that we may need to consider the question - I don't believe that we shoudl even attempt to answer the question of whether HIS advantages outweigh HIS disadvantages. While this is what has been done, I don't think it's actually the best question (and it may be futile!). Instead, it seems to me that the pertinent question is whether the technology of the cheetah blades provides any advantage. Because if they do, then its not inconceivable that this advantage could either:
i) Grow and be developed, and then we may well see the second half being run in 20 seconds and an overall time of 43 seconds of faster. This is the argument where we would reach a point of not knowing where technology ends and where physiology begins - you'd watch the race and wonder whether a 1sec PB was because of 20 hours a week of training, or 20 mm of limb thickness...
ii) Be transferred to all athletes through the technology that is being introduced to the sport. The IAAF must therefore consider the implications in 10 years' time. Will we see athletes deliberating amputating their limbs? I doubt it, that would likely not work anyway, for other physiological reasons. But we will see the technology implemented elsewhere, which brings us back to the whole debate about technology. I saw the other day that Roger Black and Steve Cram both expressed this concern - I think it's valid.
Then last, there is some data that I haven't yet shown that adds to the argument. In time, that will be released, I'm sure, but it's probably a bit soon to put it out. But it really does SUGGEST an advantage. And the advantage kind of has to be looked at ALONE, not in the context of the disadvantages, because they are not necessarily factors to consider for the IAAF's decision.
Cheers
Ross