webd wrote:
1. Tariku Bekele
2. Alan Webb
3. Craig Mottram
4. Kenenisa Bekele
Holy sh**t unbelieveable wrote:
1-Tariku Bekele (Ethiopia) 7:58
2-Alan Webb 7:59 *AR, first american ever sub 8*
3-Kenenisa Bekele (Ethiopia) 8:01
4-Craig Mottram (Australia) 8:03
5-Matt Tegenkamp 8:06
6-Adam Goucher 8:07
7-Dathan Ritzenhein 8:09
8-Anthony Famiglietti 8:11
Let me guess, you two are in high school , right? Why is Tariku going to suddenly trounce his brother after never beating him before? Because he ran a 13:04 recently? Nice run, but...... he's done better, and big brother Kenny of course has done a LOT better. So I have no idea why a reasonable person would predict Tariku over Kenny. Because Kenenisa dropped out of World X-C in the worst conditions ever after leading? Newsflash: Tariku dropped out too, but was way back when he dropped. And didn't he recently get eliminated from 1500 heats in some Ethiopian national meet? A disappointing result.
I'm not knocking Tariku in any way, he's run low 12:50's, and may run nearly as fast as his brother some day. But I just don't see any logical reason to predict he'll beat his brother this weekend. Sure, it could happen, just as Ritz could beat Webb, but there's no logical reason to predict either one of those events will occur. And a world 2 mile record (7:58) for Tariku ?? C'mon. I think some people on here just start typing and see what keys they hit without putting any thought into it. And Webb's sub 8:00 that you are predicting would be a lot more than the first US sub 8:00, it would be the only sub 8:00 done by anyone in history not named Dan Komen, and would be 12 seconds faster than anyone in US history. You're getting a wee bit carried away here.
I think Webb will have a great race, but again, get real.
(and to the poster who was chagrined at another poster saying Webb could go 12:53 right now if he wanted to, hey, at least that poster didn't predict a 12:49 for Ritz, like Flagpole Willy has!)