paul short is a great race, the 12 major teams in the psac (mercy, gannon, cheyney aren't counted) all have multiple common opponents at the paul short invite. so i was able to run a simulated psac meet (the joy of being a software programer). the caveat, runners who have not posted a result this year are not included and there are a lot of variables so this data was an estimate.
WCU, Ship, LHU, Kutztown, IUP, and Bloom's times from Paul Short were used.
Cal had 30 seconds added to their Buffalo Stampede times and I added in runners who then competed at St. Vincent (time change based on common teams avg. time change)
ESU- subtract 30 seconds from Monmouth times
Rock, Ville- add 25 seconds from LHU times
Edinboro- subtract 5 seconds from Iona times
Mansfield- subtract 55 from spiked shoe
Mitch Miller was added to LHU results even though he did post a time at Paul Short. The results were as follows:
Edinboro- 66
LHU- 73
Ship- 94
Rock- 108
ESU- 109
Cal- 170
Kutz- 187
Ville- 238
IUP- 266
Bloom- 351
Mansfield- 390
West Chester- 402
Stephen Schelander was the PSAC champion, followed closely by Cal's Aaron Dinzeo and Ship's Matt Gillette. LHU finished 4,5,6 with Getz, Miller, Gainer. Brian Deibel, James McBride, Victor Costello, and Jacob Krolick rounded out the top 10.
With Anderson, Zondlo, Monroe missing this is all subject to great change. But its a fun estimation and shows that the Rock vs. ESU matchup next weekend should be fun to watch.
It also shows how important mitch miller is to lock haven, if he is removed from the results LHU falls to 5th. Which is why they did not look good yesterday.
Ship is reliant on strong finishes up front to overcome a relatively weak 3,4,5 when compared to ESU and Rock.
Rock, and ESU appear to be missing the front runners necessary to limit the gap at 1-2.
Cal's transfers (Wolfe and 1 Gibson) were not impressive at St. Vincent and that shows in the results here.
I thought this was entertaining and worth sharing. I'm not calling this a prediction, more like an AccuScore simulation best on available data.