Could he have one last great race in him? It would be glorious if he did, but predicting it would be based on your heart and not your head. 2:07:20 for 10th.
No, I’m guessing, but I’m basing it on my head. He ran 2:02:42 in September 2023. Going 0-for-2 in marathons last year (2:06:50 and DNF) isn’t definitive proof that he’s no longer capable of 2:04.28 on a better day.
No, I’m guessing, but I’m basing it on my head. He ran 2:02:42 in September 2023. Going 0-for-2 in marathons last year (2:06:50 and DNF) isn’t definitive proof that he’s no longer capable of 2:04.28 on a better day.
Almost perfect prediction, congratulations!
I wouldn’t consider 57 seconds off an almost perfect prediction, but it was closer than the guy who was using his head and not his heart. I actually believe he can still run 2:04:28, but 65F by the finish (with a “feels like” of 69) makes it tougher, as does going out on 2:02 pace.
Eliud has been running at the top level for 23 years. Lots of wear and tear. That he can still unfurl a 2:05 is amazing. Nobody else in any sport who was world champion 20 years ago is still world class.
I wouldn’t consider 57 seconds off an almost perfect prediction, but it was closer than the guy who was using his head and not his heart. I actually believe he can still run 2:04:28, but 65F by the finish (with a “feels like” of 69) makes it tougher, as does going out on 2:02 pace.
He did better than I thought he would and worse than you did. Yes, you were closer, but that not the point of my comment. When I meant one last glorious race, I meant running for the win or at least a podium. People predicting that were doing it based on their heart. Those days are gone with a field like yesterday’s. EK is now a top 10-15 performer. Regardless of the conditions, he’s very unlikely to beat any of the five guys ahead of him yesterday ever again, and it’s only going to be getting worse every 6 months between starts.
This post was edited 22 seconds after it was posted.
I wouldn’t consider 57 seconds off an almost perfect prediction, but it was closer than the guy who was using his head and not his heart. I actually believe he can still run 2:04:28, but 65F by the finish (with a “feels like” of 69) makes it tougher, as does going out on 2:02 pace.
There is no possibility of guessing the time and placement in a marathon, I still think it is a prediction with enormous accuracy.