Who will be the first American HS sophomore (2nd year) to break 4 in the mile?

Sub 4 is still special wrote:

Anyone have a chance this year? In the next several years?

Owen Powell in WA—son of now legendary miler coach (I think he gets that title now) Andy Powell—is a sophomore. He dropped from 4:40 to 4:17 in the 1600 last year. There’s still a big jump to sub 4 but one would think his household can spread some of that sub 4 magic to him.

Speaking of WA, Vince Recupero is also a sophomore and set the 14 year old world record in the 2-mile last year (late summer bday; he’s young for his grade). Ran a 4:07 1600 last year. Was injured in cross this fall.

Of note: both are entered in the mile at the UW HS Invite at Dempsey this Sunday.

Josiah Tostenson of OR set the National middle school record as an 8th grader and ran a 4:09 last year as a freshman.

I wouldn’t predict any of these three would do it this year but they are are huge talents I couldn’t rule out. Anyone else to watch—whether this year or in the next several years?

Jonathan Commentor wrote:

Sub 4 is still special wrote:

Anyone have a chance this year? In the next several years?

Owen Powell in WA—son of now legendary miler coach (I think he gets that title now) Andy Powell—is a sophomore. He dropped from 4:40 to 4:17 in the 1600 last year. There’s still a big jump to sub 4 but one would think his household can spread some of that sub 4 magic to him.

Speaking of WA, Vince Recupero is also a sophomore and set the 14 year old world record in the 2-mile last year (late summer bday; he’s young for his grade). Ran a 4:07 1600 last year. Was injured in cross this fall.

Of note: both are entered in the mile at the UW HS Invite at Dempsey this Sunday.

Josiah Tostenson of OR set the National middle school record as an 8th grader and ran a 4:09 last year as a freshman.

I wouldn’t predict any of these three would do it this year but they are are huge talents I couldn’t rule out. Anyone else to watch—whether this year or in the next several years?

I think Tostenson has a legitemately huge chance. He has one of the best training partners jn the country, undisputable talent and work ethic judging by his back to back 8th-9th grade mile records, and plenty of opportunities to give it a shot. Bigger jumps have been made before. Look at Simeon Birnbaum's 4:20 - 3:59 last year.

Marcello Mantecon's NXN race was unbelievable, but lets wait until we see his highschool performances before prediction how he'll run in over two years from now. Lots of middle school phenoms turn out great, lots dont: think Elliot Mcarthur.

Jonathan Commentor wrote:

Sub 4 is still special wrote:

Anyone have a chance this year? In the next several years?

Owen Powell in WA—son of now legendary miler coach (I think he gets that title now) Andy Powell—is a sophomore. He dropped from 4:40 to 4:17 in the 1600 last year. There’s still a big jump to sub 4 but one would think his household can spread some of that sub 4 magic to him.

Speaking of WA, Vince Recupero is also a sophomore and set the 14 year old world record in the 2-mile last year (late summer bday; he’s young for his grade). Ran a 4:07 1600 last year. Was injured in cross this fall.

Of note: both are entered in the mile at the UW HS Invite at Dempsey this Sunday.

Josiah Tostenson of OR set the National middle school record as an 8th grader and ran a 4:09 last year as a freshman.

I wouldn’t predict any of these three would do it this year but they are are huge talents I couldn’t rule out. Anyone else to watch—whether this year or in the next several years?

I think Tostenson has a legitemately huge chance. He has one of the best training partners jn the country, undisputable talent and work ethic judging by his back to back 8th-9th grade mile records, and plenty of opportunities to give it a shot. Bigger jumps have been made before. Look at Simeon Birnbaum's 4:20 - 3:59 last year.

Marcello Mantecon's NXN race was unbelievable, but let’s wait until we see his highschool performances before prediction how he'll run in over two years from now. Lots of middle school phenoms turn out great, lots dont: think Elliot Mcarthur.

Sub 4 is still special wrote:

Jonathan Commentor wrote:

I think Tostenson has a legitemately huge chance. He has one of the best training partners jn the country, undisputable talent and work ethic judging by his back to back 8th-9th grade mile records, and plenty of opportunities to give it a shot. Bigger jumps have been made before. Look at Simeon Birnbaum's 4:20 - 3:59 last year.

Marcello Mantecon's NXN race was unbelievable, but let’s wait until we see his highschool performances before prediction how he'll run in over two years from now. Lots of middle school phenoms turn out great, lots dont: think Elliot Mcarthur.

Agree that Tostenson probably has the best chance this year, although his cross season this past fall, while good, wasn’t really what I’d expect to see before a sub-4 spring. Would love to be wrong there though.

Link:www.athletic.net/athlete/18562287/cros...

Any other age-group phenoms out there in the offing? Skandera seems to reverted to the mean. Jaimez-Solorio hasn’t improved in a few years.

Sub 4 is still special wrote:

Anyone have a chance this year? In the next several years?

Owen Powell in WA—son of now legendary miler coach (I think he gets that title now) Andy Powell—is a sophomore. He dropped from 4:40 to 4:17 in the 1600 last year. There’s still a big jump to sub 4 but one would think his household can spread some of that sub 4 magic to him.

Speaking of WA, Vince Recupero is also a sophomore and set the 14 year old world record in the 2-mile last year (late summer bday; he’s young for his grade). Ran a 4:07 1600 last year. Was injured in cross this fall.

Of note: both are entered in the mile at the UW HS Invite at Dempsey this Sunday.

Josiah Tostenson of OR set the National middle school record as an 8th grader and ran a 4:09 last year as a freshman.

I wouldn’t predict any of these three would do it this year but they are are huge talents I couldn’t rule out. Anyone else to watch—whether this year or in the next several years?