Andrew Coscoroan IRL Cruz Culpepper USA Neil Gourley GBR Johnny Gregorek USA Charlie Grice GBR Josh Hoey USA Tom Keen GBR Hobbs Kessler USA Luke McCann IRL Isaac Nader POR Sam Prakel USA Sam Tanner NZL Joshua Thompson USA Jochem Vermeulen BEL Erik Sowinski USA
A good race for Kessler would be finishing in the top five and ahead of Thompson, who has a good chance at making the World Championship team. If Kessler can finish ahead of Thompson, it will show his training is going in the right direction and that he won't have to make a huge leap in fitness and racing performance to make the World Championship team. I think a finish in the top five and ahead of Thompson will take about a 3:53. Based on his recent results, I think Kessler will do it, but that it will also represent a slight improvement from last week.
A good race for Kessler would be finishing in the top five and ahead of Thompson, who has a good chance at making the World Championship team. If Kessler can finish ahead of Thompson, it will show his training is going in the right direction and that he won't have to make a huge leap in fitness and racing performance to make the World Championship team. I think a finish in the top five and ahead of Thompson will take about a 3:53. Based on his recent results, I think Kessler will do it, but that it will also represent a slight improvement from last week.
I think top 4 would be good..I think that folks who keep saying "it's time to start winning" don't get it... there are guys , so far, better than he..Gourley just ran 2:17.x 1000M Indoors which is very very good..Tanner has run 3 secs faster at 1500M as a PR..and Thompson has run well. I am not sure what he can run..but you would have to figure, that he ran 7:39 and probably left 1.5 out there running in no man's land yet closing in 28.x. With that level of fitness he sure is in at least 3:54 shape..if fractions are right? Who knows.It doesn't really matter though..whatever he runs, the anti Hobbs club will figure out a way to trivialize it..and I will find a way to try and mitigate that LOL..at least I am honest. LOL.
I think top 4 would be good..I think that folks who keep saying "it's time to start winning" don't get it... there are guys , so far, better than he..Gourley just ran 2:17.x 1000M Indoors which is very very good..Tanner has run 3 secs faster at 1500M as a PR..and Thompson has run well. I am not sure what he can run..but you would have to figure, that he ran 7:39 and probably left 1.5 out there running in no man's land yet closing in 28.x. With that level of fitness he sure is in at least 3:54 shape..if fractions are right? Who knows.It doesn't really matter though..whatever he runs, the anti Hobbs club will figure out a way to trivialize it..and I will find a way to try and mitigate that LOL..at least I am honest. LOL.
You’re low on Kessler at the moment, which is bizarre for me to see. He is in 3:52-3 shape at worst I bet. Not saying he definitely runs that because I’m not sure anyone in this field would push on the pace (perhaps Tanner). I think top 3-4 would be solid but I like him to finish 2nd behind Tanner. Gourley is the danger after him, though the Irish guys have run well in this race before too.
A good race for Kessler would be finishing in the top five and ahead of Thompson, who has a good chance at making the World Championship team. If Kessler can finish ahead of Thompson, it will show his training is going in the right direction and that he won't have to make a huge leap in fitness and racing performance to make the World Championship team. I think a finish in the top five and ahead of Thompson will take about a 3:53. Based on his recent results, I think Kessler will do it, but that it will also represent a slight improvement from last week.
I think top 4 would be good..I think that folks who keep saying "it's time to start winning" don't get it... there are guys , so far, better than he..Gourley just ran 2:17.x 1000M Indoors which is very very good..Tanner has run 3 secs faster at 1500M as a PR..and Thompson has run well. I am not sure what he can run..but you would have to figure, that he ran 7:39 and probably left 1.5 out there running in no man's land yet closing in 28.x. With that level of fitness he sure is in at least 3:54 shape..if fractions are right? Who knows.It doesn't really matter though..whatever he runs, the anti Hobbs club will figure out a way to trivialize it..and I will find a way to try and mitigate that LOL..at least I am honest. LOL.
Yes, the notion that Hobbs has to be beating the best guys at this very moment or he'll never be at their level is bizarre. None of those guys you listed were anywhere close to as fast as Hobbs at his age. I think he'll be contending for world medals starting at 22-24 but will have to climb to that level between now and then. Not realistic to expect the rate of development he experienced as a hs senior to continue forever.
That should be a good one for Hobbs. Tanner is probably the favorite.
Tanner looks to be in superb condition after an essentially solo 3:54 mile at the Cooks Classic in New Zealand during a massive downpour of rain a week or so ago. He's definitely going to be raking up the air miles over the next few weeks. Boston mile on Feb 4th, Wanamaker mile in NY on the 11th, then flying back downunder to Australia for the mixed relay at the World XC Champs on the 18th. Hope all the travel doesn't have any impact on his performances.
I think top 4 would be good..I think that folks who keep saying "it's time to start winning" don't get it... there are guys , so far, better than he..Gourley just ran 2:17.x 1000M Indoors which is very very good..Tanner has run 3 secs faster at 1500M as a PR..and Thompson has run well. I am not sure what he can run..but you would have to figure, that he ran 7:39 and probably left 1.5 out there running in no man's land yet closing in 28.x. With that level of fitness he sure is in at least 3:54 shape..if fractions are right? Who knows.It doesn't really matter though..whatever he runs, the anti Hobbs club will figure out a way to trivialize it..and I will find a way to try and mitigate that LOL..at least I am honest. LOL.
You’re low on Kessler at the moment, which is bizarre for me to see. He is in 3:52-3 shape at worst I bet. Not saying he definitely runs that because I’m not sure anyone in this field would push on the pace (perhaps Tanner). I think top 3-4 would be solid but I like him to finish 2nd behind Tanner. Gourley is the danger after him, though the Irish guys have run well in this race before too.
Maybe my point was left unclear by me. I actually would think Kessler is in 3:52.x shape or so for sure. But race and pace dictates how fast this will go. I presume the set up with be :1:53.5-1:54..but that's meters on that track most likely.. they don't know the diff while pacing for Meters or yards, they look at the clock and cross the line on laps..so 1:53.x becomes 1:54 mid and guys will be back a couple meters. That's why, after a pacer steps off the next guy in line sometimes slows it down...this is not set up or billed as some record attempt..so I expect a normally regular race...albeit faster than most..but not most lately! LOL..3:51 .x would surprise me a bit, by the winner?
Positioning, will likely be a key, with the following possibility:
One of the first three with two laps to go will win, and two of the top three with two laps to go will podium. One of the first five with two laps to go will reach the podium.