At the risk of being contrarian, I think there’s been a U.S. guy capable of sub-13 for each of the past ~18 years, with a couple possible exceptions like ‘08 and ‘15.
Erick Lara, brother of Frank "the tank" Lara, of Roots running and Altra Running, 2020 USATF 15K Road Champion, will make his 2023 indoor debut and dominate Joe Klecker.
Sure man, I’ll bet you $10. I think it’s totally possible and I’d like to see it happen, but I’d put it at less than 50%. And the “3:57 mile to open a workout” thing is a little disingenuous; as the other poster said, it was more like a 1600m controlled time trial, which I don’t think proves more than 3:52-53 mile fitness at sea level.
I think the most likely result is 13:01-13:05. I’ll go way more specific and say the pace is a couple seconds off the 13:05 target through 4k, and Klecker closes in ~2:32 for a 13:03 PR and the win, with Kincaid kicking for 2nd in 13:06.
Since he ran that 3:52.0i last year, I’ve been expecting Beadlescomb to take it to the next level at 3k/5k. So for now I’m going to stick with that notion and say he breaks 13:10 here, lopping a chunk off his 13:17 PR.
You were the first guy to take me up on the bet, so consider it done 🤝
regardless of the result, glad this is even a discussion and possibility. When I first started following the sport a few years ago, no US guys were close to this mark.
You were the first guy to take me up on the bet, so consider it done 🤝
regardless of the result, glad this is even a discussion and possibility. When I first started following the sport a few years ago, no US guys were close to this mark.
Cool.
At the risk of being contrarian, I think there’s been a U.S. guy capable of sub-13 for each of the past ~18 years, with a couple possible exceptions like ‘08 and ‘15.
12:54. Happy with that bold prediction, I knew he’d do it (:
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You were the first guy to take me up on the bet, so consider it done 🤝
regardless of the result, glad this is even a discussion and possibility. When I first started following the sport a few years ago, no US guys were close to this mark.
You were the first guy to take me up on the bet, so consider it done 🤝
regardless of the result, glad this is even a discussion and possibility. When I first started following the sport a few years ago, no US guys were close to this mark.
Do you have PayPal?
Don’t worry about it! Keep the $10 or give it to someone in need. Was fun to watch.