I'm a Tuohy fan. I think she will break 15:00 this year, or do something that shows she clearly has that fitness, like maybe popping a 15:10 in a tactical or hot weather race. And if she hits mid or high 14:50s that is probably the equivalent of a 13:15ish men's time, which would show she is running as comparatively well as any guy in the NCAA.
But the numbers are what they are when it comes to NCAA men's depth vs. women's. Its worth thinking about why that is. I certainly don't know for sure what causes that. It could be one or more of the following:
1. A gap in the developmental opportunities for pre-collegiate women, in the U.S. and/or abroad.
2. The men's 5000 meter world record could be soft.
3. The women's 5000 meter world record could be doped.
4. There could be hormonal and/or other biological differences between college age men and women that mean women's development curves are different.
5. NCAA women's performances could improve if there were changes in the volume and intensity of their training.
6. Any host of other reasons I can't think of as an active but not professional observer of the sport.