It's worth noting that CDA's number 5 ran 4:34/10:00 last week as a freshman. People keep on saying they need to find a number 5 but act like Rocky Mountain or Boise don't. As of right now, CDA's #5 is with Rocky's number 4 and Boise's number 5. That doesn't include Wyatt Carr.
CDA's lifetime 3200 PRs of guys currently on the roster: 9:13, 9:37, 9:39, 9:40, 10:00, 10:19
Rocky's: 8:59, 9:12, 9:56, 10:00, 10:07, 10:08, 10:10.
Right now, the top 25 5A state meet by 3200 PR goes: Rocky, Rocky, Eagle, CDA, Boise, Boise, CDA, Owyhee, Timberline, CDA, CDA, Thunder Ridge, Highland, Meridian, Boise, Capital, Centennial, Boise, Centennial, Centennial, Mountain View, Rocky, Eagle, Rocky, CDA, Boise. Bryson Blaser probably slots in around the Boise guys, and Wyatt Carr slots in around the 2 Centennial boys. CDA wins this format 56 to Rocky's 75 and Boise's 67. That doesn't account for Bryson Blaser or Wyatt Carr. Centennial would score ~100 slotting Bryson Blaser in after the Boise guys. Timberline is 210, Mountain View is 183, Eagle is 155. Obviously there's some issues with this. Guys in 5A District 3 like Bryson Blaser, Cole Reed, Thomas Stevens, Chase McComber, Branden Keetch, etc. have focused on lower events and have weak 3200s, so they aren't properly accounted for. Timberline has 2 or 3 boys missing because they just haven't even run a 3200. Those guys end up diluting the scoring runners in the 20's, though. That really kills Rocky more than anyone out of the top 4.
It's hard to see any Idaho team other than Boise or CDA qualifying for NXN with an at-large. Rocky looks to be pretty clearly the 3rd place Idaho team. Granted, they could make a large leap, but with what is known now, they don't look like an NXN team without getting another transfer that's on the same level as Hunter Hill.