Dude no one's arguing that things can not change over months or a year... I mean if you want to predict that cook will beat her next year in cross country it's unlikely... but it's not crazy... All people are saying is they just raced a week ago and she is obviously way faster... Maybe that'll change in 6 months or a year but it's not going to change in a week...
Rodenfels ran a 17:54 6k placing 2nd behind Keira D'Amato at the 6k USATF Road race championships in June. That's pretty fast. This should be a good race.
What was wrong with Chelangat? Just trying to understand why if Tuohy and Cook are locked in for equal performances, everyone else isn't. Predictions? I finishes top 25 in the contest. Better than you and your buddies did.
What was wrong with Chelangat? Just trying to understand why if Tuohy and Cook are locked in for equal performances, everyone else isn't. Predictions? I finishes top 25 in the contest. Better than you and your buddies did.
Again you seem to fail to comprehend even the simplest statements!
I clearly said if a runner was in good health and did not fall and the same happens again then we can expect similar results!
I then said we know for a fact those two things happened for cook and tuohy! I have no idea if Mercy was sick, if she was injured, if she fell! In fact I heard a couple of people mention without verifying it that she did in fact fall during the race!
Maybe she was sick also because she obviously had a pretty good season although not that close to the top two runners! But she was certainly tracking as a top five potential
Anyway we're talking about two very specific runners who we know very specific things about! But as usual because you're making crazy predictions you have to try to bring in all sorts of tangential arguments to try to confuse a situation
Why don't you just make a clear prediction about Cook and Tuohy and then we can see what happens on Saturday and we can see if your prediction was sensible?
yall watch katelyn's xc races instead, while we all wait for the season opener, maybe you'll find a thing or two about her fitness and what shes capable of
You haven't followed running long enough if you believe that results will be nearly identical from one week to the next. Prediction contests would be very easy it that was the case. Do you think Bosley finishes 3rd if they run the race 10 times? Do you think Chelangat finishes in the same position? How did Tuohy lose to Rowe in the 3000? How did Centro win the Olympic 1500?
2016 Olympics was the slowest most tactical race in ages, it was a huge exception.
While it's clearly true that running is not precisely predictable, a paced? indoor race that is not a championship is among the more predictable ones, certainly more than hilly XC. I doubt that any collegian, except Chelangat in better shape than at the XC final has the slightest change to run the wheels off Tuohy. And how Tuohy negative split at the XC and with her 4:06 best, I don't see any non-professional in that field outkicking her either.
Well duh. A paced race is most predictable but your own statement contradicts that this one is predictable because the data that you are using is the recent hilly XC race. There is no recent data from a paced track race to use. The one thing that is certain is that there will be a few huge surprises in both directions.