holy crap i cannot believe this is still being argued. "blah blah blah the plane pushes against the AIR, man, not the ground..." are you kidding me? does anyone here realize that there is a force called GRAVITY that exerts force on matter (assuming that this example takes place on earth)?
when the airplane is at rest on the ground (or stationary treadmill) the force of gravity pulling the plane down is balanced by the force of the runway (treadmill) pushing up on the wheels - newton's laws people, the same amount of force pulling the plane down (the plane's weight) is also being applied by upward by the runway; if the forces were not equal, a plane sitting on the runway would either be crushed into the ground by gravity or would float off the ground. at rest, no force is being exerted horizontally, hence no movement.
in a normal runway takeoff, when the engines of an airplane are engaged, they provide thrust that begins to accelerate the aircraft down the runway. we now have a positive force in the direction opposite the engines' thrust. the reason an airplane requires a runway, however, is that the plane needs room to accelerate to a speed where the surrounding air is moving over the surface of the wings fast enough to to produce a lifting force (due to the differential curvatures of the top and bottom of the airfoil) that exceeds the gravitational pull on the plane's mass, resulting in a net force in the upwards direction. UNTIL SUCH LIFT IS GENERATED, THE AIRCRAFT WILL NOT LEAVE THE GROUND.
If we take the plane off the runway, and put it on a giant treadmill that MOVES AT THE SAME SPEED as the plane would move were it on stationary ground, then by definition the force in the direction provided by the thrust of the engine is EXACTLY MATCHED and thus cancelled out by the opposite force of the treadmill. recall that when the airplane was resting, the force of the runway (treadmill) on the wheels was the same as the force of the plane on the ground. the fact that the engines thrust against the air has NO IMPACT WHATSOEVER on the outcome as long as GRAVITY has not been counteracted. The only way to produce lift is by increasing the speed of the air flowing over the wings. If the force of the aircraft's thrust is met by an EQUAL force in the opposite direction, the wheels will spin, yes, but the airplane will not move forward in space, hence no airflow, no lift, NO FLYING. an aircraft at rest on the treadmill trying to accelerate is no different than a person running on the treadmill, until gravity is overcome, the force of the engines is INDEED BEING APPLIED THROUGH THE WHEELS INTO THE GROUND. think not? what do you think would happen if the pilot of an airplane rolling down the runway at ten mph suddenly retracted the landing gear? that's right, the plane would fall to the ground, because it is not moving through the air fast enough for lift to overcome gravity.
i can't believe i just took that much time to explain something so ridiculously simple. bottom line is this: the airplane starting at rest must accelerate to a high enough speed THROUGH THE AIR for it to lift off the ground (or treadmill). just because the wheels spin makes no difference: a force equal the mass of the plane X the acceleration of gravity (roughly 9.8 m/s/s) is still keeping the plane on the ground and must be overcome in order to lift it. just like a runner, the horizontal component of motion is balanced by a treadmill going the same speed, and thus the runner and the plane DO NOT MOVE relative to their surroundings, including the air. without this horizontal movement, the upward component of lift cannot be developed.
once again, THE AIRPLANE WILL NOT FLY.