NXR Northwest Predictions

I think that most of those are dead on.

It'll be interesting to see if Gorze tries to lead from the gun to break everyone, or if he tries to do the bare minimum to get to NXN, or if he sits the first lap and then takes the lead.

Most of the field will probably be taking their cue from Gorze, so how he acts the first half of the race will determine a lot.

idaho courses have seemed off this year, washington state meet was very slow with slow course and 25mph winds

Idaho courses haven’t been off, but they seem to have had really good racing weather at the big meets.

Don’t speed ratings self adjust for bad (or good) weather days? I thought they did.

I think that the speed ratings are supposed to adjust, but the speed ratings in Idaho (also Montana, Hawaii, Alaska, and other less populated and less competitively-dense states for that matter) are notoriously a little lower than most people would think, regardless of any adjustments.

Speed ratings are a great tool, especially in Washington, Oregon, New York, California, Utah, and Colorado. But in most other states, they are usually a little off.

Idaho is doing great this year. I wouldn't put it on "off" courses.

It may be because of the lack of COVID restrictions (see WA Running Fan for an example), it may be because WA and ID kids transferred to ID because of COVID restrictions. Could be for a host of other reasons. Who cares? Idaho deserves their time to shine, I'm excited to see it.

With that said, this is definitely an off year for Washington. It's been awhile since WA was shut out from NXN, but I honestly don't expect to see more than 1 or 2 WA runners making the trip to NXN. If that.

I don’t know all the teams, but at first glance I didn’t see any surprise omissions. It is interesting to look the “show all entries” tab and see which schools appear to bring most of their team and which just a select few.

If you read the entries rules it clearly states you aren't allowed to have a top 7 plus additional unattached

I do believe you can change who you run at NXN though, my kids team ended up sitting one athlete and subbing them out for someone who didn't run at NXR years ago

RACE Definitions:
Championship = Qualifier for NXN. No more than 7 athletes per club team. You may NOT enter a club team of 5-7 athletes along with additional individuals. You must request entry to the Championship race by initially registering to be considered. 22 teams and 45 individuals will be invited. If your team is not invited, you will be moved to one of the sections of Open Invitational. If your team is moved, you may request for an individual(s) to remain in the Championship.

washington isn’t off, if you look at track times washington is way more deep than idaho. Washington xc courses have just been slow this year. Idahos courses have been suspicious. Many wa teams ran invites in idaho and ran way faster than any meet in wa.

Bob Firman ran normal and the cat’s out of the bag that the new Lewiston course (new since last year) is just ridiculously fast.

How did Washington do head to head against Oregon? That’s your better barometer at this point.

The individual level may be fine, but for the teams there is a big drop off from previous years pre-COVID. Maybe those Kamiakin, Central Valley and Lewis and Clark teams were just extremely exceptional from 2017 to 2019 but even before that Washington at least had one team that was in the top 3 at NXR. This year I would be surprised if there was one in the top 5.

If I read the entries correctly, likely top two Kate Peters from Oregon and Anna Peters from Post Falls, Idaho are both not entered. Boise also missing Sammy Smith.

Kate Peters not racing. Never recovered from mid season stress reaction. Was in a boot and on crutches at Oregon state meet.

Honestly the two states are more comparable in track than most people realize. With better competition, Idaho track times probably would be faster. They already aren't that far off of each other if you look at the times ran, Washington is just deeper. Also, Idaho has a lot of young talent, as Washington graduated half or more of their top 10 times in 4 seperate distance events last year while Idaho only had 2 of their distance events dominated by seniors.

Live webcast

nxrnw.runnerspace.com

NXR Northwest Regional - Videos - LIVE Webcast - Nike Cross Regionals Northwest 2022

NXR WEBCASTS NW | HL | MW | SW | S | SE | NE | NY | NationalsThe 2022 Nike Cross Regionals Northwest will be broadcast live from Eagle Island XC Course, Boise, ID on Saturday, November 12. The broadcast will begin at 8:20 a.m...

Link:nxrnw.runnerspace.com/eprofile.php?eve...

Girls results

1. Storm over Bend 58
2. Stumptown XC Club 77
3. Boise XC 153
4. GRIT XC 172

Storm over Bend - Summit

Stumptown - Jesuit

Grit XC - Rocky Mountain

Because of the large gap between #2 and #3, an at-large doesn’t seem likely here

Boys championship is ON!!!!

Crater (in 1st) and Jesuit (in 2nd) are well ahead of Rocky so far