Agree with this. Great Oak seems more out of contention for this at this point.
The only region I see possibly getting 2 at-larges is: Midwest (Niketown showed everything about this region) or Northwest IF Eastlake’s 3/4 run their best at NXR AND their 5th steps up. But the problem is that their #5 is a freshman and he doesn’t have a 6/7 close behind him to help him out. Sounds like a lot of pressure on him. But it’s not like he needs to be as good as Owen Clemons or a Culpepper to close the 4-5 gap when Eastlake’s 3/4 are on
This chart takes results of runners who ran at the Clovis Invitational in 2021 and in \'22 and calculates the difference. Rankings are in order of most improved.
If you really wanna continue to talk about this, the next competition for this spot will be in this meet. Looks like everyone but their top 6 is entered
Sonora sophomore Broen Holman\'s 16th-place finish in the Championship race was the fastest time at the meet among boys in the classes of \'25 and \'26.
Ok, let’s talk about Grenada Instead. some people believe they will come 2nd
Top runner has a 14:22 PB for 3 miles. Oh wait, he would be NP #4, maybe #5 and perhaps even #6.
Who knows, maybe he will even break 15min for 5k.
Let’s talk about that…
I fail to understand why that would be so much better.
The problem is that NP has now set the bar so very high. Other teams seem very weak.
Let’s continue the much more interesting story on Grenada.
Unfortunately, they only got third. They may have underperformed a little.
Unfortunately, their top guy did not break 15. He ran 15:16, which is a 6s PR for him. He closed strong to finish 12th. He passed Doshi in the last mile, so he would have been NP#4.
They finished with 157 points. 117 points behind NP. But I am sure that if a few guys had run better, they could have brought down the deficit to 100 points.
Let’s continue the much more interesting story on Grenada.
Unfortunately, they only got third. They may have underperformed a little.
Unfortunately, their top guy did not break 15. He ran 15:16, which is a 6s PR for him. He closed strong to finish 12th. He passed Doshi in the last mile, so he would have been NP#4.
They finished with 157 points. 117 points behind NP. But I am sure that if a few guys had run better, they could have brought down the deficit to 100 points.
Let’s continue it
They got 4th in the merge at CIF
They got an at-large
At NXN they got 16th
At NXN, Newbury Park’s 7th man beat Granada’s 5th man. Actually, he almost beat Granada’s 4th man
1 - NP is the strongest HS team in history. They are as strong as a decent NCAA team.
2 - They have also become a dynasty. If COVID had not occurred, they would/will have won 4 XC national championship in a row
3 - That dynasty will most likely go away as soon as next year, unless the #2 to #5 non seniors progress immensely in the next year.
4 - #2 to #7 have already progressed a lot since last year and tracking their progress will give a good indication of what 2023 may hold.
That’s why there is an interest in this year’s #7 (next year #2)
Rooting for dynasty to continue.
This year’s #7 on NP doesn’t automatically mean next year’s #2 even though they lose 5 varsity seniors. What if a freshman really steps up and becomes their #2 next year?
Cheyenne Mountain had a freshman go from midpack JV last year to #2 on the team this year
Bigger jumps are made from 9th to 10th grade than from 11th to 12th grade
Looks like she was the top runner for every race after Clovis invite and even finished runner up at state. She was also the top scorer at NXN. Her post state interviews talk about a stress fracture earlier in the season so I think that explains Woodbridge and Clovis invite.