Who will be the top NY XC highschool this year?

Muddy races always tend to have fairly low ratings because he takes out the runners that greatly underperformed, and there are a higher number of those on a muddy day.

Corning really cut it close this year but they managed to pull it out against a fairly weak field. I was very surprised at the lack of progression, that’s very unusual for them. Hopefully they can have a strong performance at NXN and make New York look like less of a joke on the boys’ side.

I think it’s looking more and more likely that the New York boys teams will finish in the bottom 2 at NXN. Unless some random team falls apart.
This is not to hate on NY. It’s that every region has at least 2 very elite teams this year.
Even the Heartland region. This region has actually gotten a lot stronger. Both individually and from a team standpoint. Wayzata is much improved from last year. They won NXR last year and were young and still is.
Dowling Catholic is very solid too with 2 low scorers.
These 2 teams are ranked very highly on Milesplit and Dyestat as well.

It’s extraordinarily unlikely that they finish as the literal bottom two. Plenty of teams will fall apart, it always happens. But I doubt either will finish in the top half of the field (and the expectation should be for one team to do so).

I agree that teams will fall apart.

Mounds View and Stevens Point were clearly projected to get last in 2019. Both raced to the best of their ability, but Mounds View beat Kamiakin (who underperformed) and El Paso Eastwood (who was selected as an at-large bid but got last. Jesuit CA should have been selected over them. They had Strangio who was very certain to put up a small number)

I agree with this. The NY boys teams are shockingly weak this year. Only one team managed (barely) to have three runners above a 170 speed-rating at yesterday's meet - and that team (Northport) isn't likely to qualify. Combine that with the projected tight finish among 5 or 6 teams... it's going to take a max team performance to qualify, the two qualifying teams will be in "happy to be there" mode, and we can expect a showing at NXN worthy of the NE girls.

But Saratoga's girls will win, so not a total loss for NY teams this year.

In the NE region it seems like the opposite. On the girls side it’s nothing good, but on the boys side CBA is insane. Second spot is up for grabs with UC’s #1 out for the rest of the season. Hall CT seems solid. They have like everyone back from last year

Is MW running at Feds as a team? Last year they only set Gilstrap.

They don't have the entries listed on Leone Timing's site yet. I know that Section 2 is sending a ton of teams; 5 boys teams and 8 girls teams - half of the NYSPHSAA bids for girls teams.

Personally, I think Haynia is a serious sleeper to win NXR outright this year. He looked very relaxed running what was essentially a solo effort this weekend, and was only 3 seconds off Holden-Betts for 1st in the merge. He's been essentially unchallenged all year, and I can see him peaking very well.

The public-school bids for Feds are up on MileSplit. No girls teams from Section 3. Auburn, B-ville, and Liverpool boys teams. Corning and Fairport boys aren't entered; all other contenders are in.

He was the fastest 3200 NYSPHSAA runner from last spring. I see him doing it. Keep an eye on him in track, I see strong potential for him to break 9 in the 3200.

Last year they weren’t very good. They are much better this year. If they did it last year they wouldn’t have done much there. I can imagine them going to feds and doing very well in it this year

Question is will FM boys team be doing feds?

Cause I’ve seen posts here that Aris will only send McGinn/Otis to NXR.

Looks like no FM here. Are Otis/McGinn going?

ny.milesplit.com

NYSPHSAA Federation Team Invites Released

Kyle Brazeil

One week after the four Federations all hold their individual State Championships, they all converge on Bowdoin Park to duke it out once and for all.

Link:ny.milesplit.com/articles/324114/nysph...

They aren't listed.

FM hasn't entered a runner at Feds since 2007 or thereabouts. Unlikely to do so this year.

Xavier has a nice soph class. Second behind St A at CHSAA but they return their 1,2,5,6 for 2024

Yea true, they will be a strong team in 2025. Off topic but, SA has their number 2,3 and 5 guys returning as well as most of their fairly strong JV. I think they’ll at least win the chsaa title next year.

What are the odds that a new team comes up for second place at NXR? 10%? if northports 4/5 run well could they possibly snag that spot?

the field is wide open in both boys' and girls' NY and NE Regions...save for CBA boys in the NE, Saratoga in NY girls.... it is conceivable that a team that has never made the trip to PDX boards that plane for an experience of a lifetime.

Among the NY boys, Fairport and Monroe-Woodbury are the potential first-time qualifiers. For NY girls, Bethlehem and CNS have never sent a team. Hall (CT) is a potential first-time Q for the NE boys.