NXN is back! Will Newbury pull off the 1-2-3 again?

They will go 1-2-7-10 at Garmin. They aren't doing NXN.

I think they will go 1,2,3 at nationals. No one else will be in the top 10 from that team though. There are way too many national caliber athletes in this country coming back.

Aaron will get 3rd because he has the Youngs to train with every day, and he finished as the 3rd fastest nonsenior at RL. Other national caliber athletes don’t have training partners at that level.

They will put 4 top 10 because many will be at NXN.

No. They should be preseason 1, 2, 3, but someone(s) elsewhere will develop and break up the group. Here’s my random prediction.

1. Lex or Leo

2. Birnbaum or Burns

3 Lex or Leo

4. Birnbaum or Burns or Gorze

5. Sahlman

6. Some Sophomore or Junior

Agree with this but actually think Gorze is most likely to hit that second spot. There are tons of crazy underclassmen as well who could break it up. Recupero in Washington is a crazy undertrained taken with 4:07/9:02 as a freshman.

Speaking of underclassmen, Don’t forget Keegan Smith. 8:52 in the 3200.

Some class of 2024 guys that could crack the top 10 are Wischusen from Union Catholic, Patrick Koon from FL, and 3 Parras (no I don’t think they are related).

I would be pretty shocked if Lex & Leo didnt go 1-2 next year, they are gonna be all timers in XC. 13:43 as a junior at 5,000m is nuts & they will again have the best training situation in the country.

Two of them are brothers at the same school.

In 2019, all of the top 10 NXN finishers in the boys race were seniors.

We might see that again this year.

I know Fall 2023 is way too far ahead but I think it would be fun to make a wayyyyyy to early prediction for the top 10 for that year. Although there might be some sophs or juniors come out of the woodwork even this coming fall.

1. Keegan Smith
2. Jimmy Wischuen
3-5: the 3 Parras
6. Will Conway
7. Vincent Recupero
8. Patrick Koon
9. Seth Norder
10. Dev Doshi

I think there will be at least 2 juniors in the top 10 in fall 2023.

Does Marcus Reilly not really focus on XC or is he more of an 800-mile track guy? I’m not sure why he didn’t run the big races to get a good speed rating last year, but if his fitness extends out to 5k and he focuses on it, he seems like the no. 1. He’s a top pick to be the first sub-4 miler from this group.

I’ve wondered the same. The results (limited XC results for his HS and only track results are unattached or track club) suggest his private (parents?) coaching situation has led him to basically forgo meaningful XC participation and just focus on track. Seems like a mistake from a strength and social perspective but he’s not my kid.

The insular nature of times reporting in Mass. seems to make it difficult to know what kids have or haven’t done in intrastate competition. Correct me if I’m wrong, but I think a lot from there never makes it into Milesplit or athletic.net.

There is another sophomore Ty Steorts from WV who went from a 9:52 in the 3200 to a 9:01 in just 1 month

Yeah very little makes it online when it comes to results. It's kind of crazy sometimes that some dual meets in California go online while our western mass championshionships are nowhere to be found in either Athletic or milesplit. Reilly's much more of a track guy. Doesnt have a good team to represent, or guys at his level to push him, besides maybe Aidan Ross who he trains with often. Hes much more of a whittaker scenario of great middle distance talent but no xc presence besides trailing behind Ross at d3 states.

I think for most of the country, literally everything that is an official school result makes it into one or both. Usually both eventually.

No one will beat the Youngs.
Potential candidates to beat Aaron Sahlman:
Connor Burns (8:45 2-mile (faster than Aaron’s 3200 time), 3:58 mile)
Simeon Birnbaum (3:59 mile)
Rocky Hansen (4-flat mile (slightly faster than Aaron’s 1600), 8:46 2-mile (faster than Aaron’s 3200))
Devan Kipyego (4 flat mile)
Chris Caudillo (his 3200 is 3 seconds faster than Aaron’s 3200)
Maybe Tyrone Gorze but his mile time wasn’t faster than Aaron’s but he had some awesome 5K and 10k times in track

It’s within the realm of possibility that one of them doesn’t make it to the championship race. In the six seasons they’ve competed (Xc and track)one of them has not made it to the end in two.