This came up on our podcast talk with Nick Willis and we addressed it again on today's Friday 15. Video clip of that available to everyone below.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yT1cb23MrmU
Nick Willis pod:
-
This came up on our podcast talk with Nick Willis and we addressed it again on today's Friday 15. Video clip of that available to everyone below.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yT1cb23MrmU
Nick Willis pod:
-
wejo wrote:
This came up on our podcast talk with Nick Willis and we addressed it again on today's Friday 15. Video clip of that available to everyone below.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yT1cb23MrmUNickWillis pod:
https://podcast.letsrun.com/episode/3c638f6d/nick-willis-guest-eurocross-eastbay-s-jakob-ingebrigtsen-allie-o-steps-back-danish-juniors-better-than-newbury-park-
It is too early. STFU
He'll retire when he goes more than a year without hitting a world or olympic time standard. As long as he's able to compete on the world level he'll keep doing it.
Probably shortly after 2024.
He will peak early and, sensing his steep decline, will choose to retire.
I know nothing about his hopes and dreams, so I can not speculate.
OozmaKappa wrote:
Probably shortly after 2024.
He will peak early and, sensing his steep decline, will choose to retire.
Well, there is no doubt it will be "after" 2024, because 2032 is after 2024. He will still be under 24 for Paris, roughly 28 for LA, and roughly 32 for where ever the 2032 Olympics will be held. If he transitions well to the road (I'm calling 2025 for that), he could even make it in 2036 Olympics.
I'll say 2038. I think he will get close to 40 and retire. I think he actually likes to compete and that will be enough.
This post was removed.
Oh Please wrote:
OozmaKappa wrote:
Probably shortly after 2024.
He will peak early and, sensing his steep decline, will choose to retire.
Well, there is no doubt it will be "after" 2024, because 2032 is after 2024. He will still be under 24 for Paris, roughly 28 for LA, and roughly 32 for where ever the 2032 Olympics will be held. If he transitions well to the road (I'm calling 2025 for that), he could even make it in 2036 Olympics.
I'll say 2038. I think he will get close to 40 and retire. I think he actually likes to compete and that will be enough.
His biological clock has been accelerated by the decades of training he already has under his belt. Hes probably like a 28yo right now. I think his body can take just a few more years of this beating then its all downhill from there.
With a steep rise comes a steep decline, and I think weve just about the whole upside from this Ingebrigtsen.
It depends on whether or not he’s interested in thoning. Also is he good at or interested in anything else? I mean what kind of education does one get in Norway?
It all really comes down to if he’s ok with getting slower. I mean even when he slows he will still be one of the best. But all us old runners have experienced what it’s like to train hard but not run faster than the year before. Than that continues year after year. I think his older brothers are having a hard time with that reality as they hover around 30. Im sure he sees that and questions whether or not he can handle that mental anguish.
It'll be interesting to see how long Jakob's career lasts, considering the early age at which he started focusing completely on running at a very high level, and the success he's achieved so young. I don't know of any other elite male distance runners who've trained at his level from such a tender age, so it will be interesting to watch how things pan out. One thing that could offer him some relative longevity (in spite of his early age of specialization) is the type of training he is reported to perform, that focuses to a large degree on lactate threshold intervals, as opposed to short, fast anaerobic stuff. This kind of training tends to be quite a bit more tolerable both physically and mentally.
Also, as a previous poster said, he does appear to really love to compete, and to win. So yes, it'll be interesting to see what he decides to do when his performances plateau/stagnate in his current preferred events. Move up?
Jakob will retire after winning another medal(s) in Paris 2024.
1) He will have trained for 17 years in 2024
2) He is tired of running already and is excited about new things, as stated in some interviews.
3) He is now engaged to his longtime girlfriend and will be married by 2024 (children?)
4) No distance runner has medaled in more than two olympics, other than Paavo Nurmi in the 1920's.
It certainly was never too early for the brojos to retire from even thinking about ever getting a job.
When testing gets to the point that it could detect what he's taking or late 20s, whichever comes first. In his late 20s, he'll have won the olympics 3 times and have world records at 2, maybe 3 distances outdoors.
Kvothe wrote:
When testing gets to the point that it could detect what he's taking or late 20s, whichever comes first. In his late 20s, he'll have won the olympics 3 times and have world records at 2, maybe 3 distances outdoors.
Are you actually serious or is this supposed to be satire?
Look at Jim Ryun, arguably a bigger talent than Jakob at 1500m. Jakob will likely start to struggle and/or get injured by 2024. At that point he will have to assess how much he really loves the sport.
The magnificent Olympic champion Herb Elliott retired at an age younger than Mantz was as a college freshman.
Better question.
When will Nick Willis retire?
🤣🤣🤣
Wjmjlv wrote:
Look at Jim Ryun, arguably a bigger talent than Jakob at 1500m. Jakob will likely start to struggle and/or get injured by 2024. At that point he will have to assess how much he really loves the sport.
Or maybe he'll be like Coe, Scott, Ovett and Walker and run into his 30s. Ryun seriously over trained in HS and his first 2 years of college and suffered an endless stream of what he called "junk injuries" after that.
Ingribitzen seems to have avoided injuries for a long period of time and must be doing something right.
Kvothe wrote:
When testing gets to the point that it could detect what he's taking or late 20s, whichever comes first. In his late 20s, he'll have won the olympics 3 times and have world records at 2, maybe 3 distances outdoors.
This is another factor. If the technology catches up to be able to detect whatever hes currently on, that could end his career.
Though I do disagree in that I doubt he'll ever achieve a WR, or win another olympic gold.
Master of Lolly wrote:
Jakob will retire after winning another medal(s) in Paris 2024.
1) He will have trained for 17 years in 2024
2) He is tired of running already and is excited about new things, as stated in some interviews.
3) He is now engaged to his longtime girlfriend and will be married by 2024 (children?)
4) No distance runner has medaled in more than two olympics, other than Paavo Nurmi in the 1920's.
Eliud Kipchoge has medalled in four olympics.