That's All, Folks wrote:
BUT
as per the CAS report even if it did, it wouldn't be the correct organs, the amount wouldn't have been enough, and it wouldn't have flagged up an adverse finding so high as that of Shelby.
^ This ^
Plus, the androgen was wrong and the CIR not explainable with commercially fed pork. Going through the CAS report, one finds escalating improbabilities for the above from
1) "possible" (that the beef burrito was pork burrito)
2) to "possible but improbable" (that the pork came from a cryptorchid)
3) to "possible but improbable" (that the nandro amount would be that high EVEN IF it was a cryptorchid)
4) to "possible but highly improbable" (that the cryptorchid had such elevated androgen)
5) to not "consistent with the carbon isotope signature of commercial pork".
Recall that we are talking about number 2 here, with Prof. McClone stating that the chance for that is "far less
than 1 in 10,000". And then note that number 3 has a similar chance, and number 4 a much lower chance, not too mention number 5.
And then recall Statistics 101: one has to multiply these chances with each other to get the probability that all of the above happened. For example (and one can debate the numbers of course):
0.1 x 0.0001 x 0.0001 x 0.00001 x 0.000001 = 0.00000000000000000001
Which is a chance of 1 in 100000000000000000000...., or a guilty chance of 99.9999999999999999999%.
For comparison, Kiptum was banned because of his Hb and off-score "exceeding the respective upper 99.99% specificity level". So even the above-mentioned "far less than 1 in 10,000" night have been enough for a guilty verdict.
Open-and-shut case of a caught doper with a ridiculo excuse, imho.