-I like the take that he’s not an astounding favorite at any distance. His biggest competition in everything from 800 to 5k are his teammates.
I’ve been subscribing to the narrative that Hocker can do anything Teare can on the track. Teare running 13:17, while Hocker scared Centro with a ~55 close to run 13:32, is not a fair comparison; however, I read on here that their time trials (7:44/7:45) leading up to the race were rather indicative of similar shape over 3000m. They finish with each other in every race; Hocker got the best of him in the NCAA 3K, and now he’s outdoors. He’s established a couple of NOTABLE wins at home, and his coach is a mad genius.
If their fastest 1500/mile this year is the 3:50, I’ll be surprised. Of course, this happens often; but, I don’t think it’s the case for them. I think they still have a couple of seconds to knock off. I also posted after Teare’s 13:17 saying that I think he and Grijalva (for what it’s worth, maybe Hunter too) could hold 63flat and kick to 13:0X the next time they are in that same setting. I think Hocker is with them if they do that.
Hocker was 69th at his only NCAA XC championships, and we see how far he’s come since then. That’s a solid performance for someone’s first full collegiate season. He was twenty seconds from All-American status, ran 3:58 and COVID happened. One thing led to another, and now he’s on a (near) two-month win streak. He hasn’t lost since Valentine’s Day weekend. I’m bringing up the XC shape to explain that he may not have won NCAA XC this year, but I’d be surprised if he wasn’t top 3. Connect the dots.
1:46
3:31
7:37
13:08
Comparing him to pros, 200m to go: would it be surprising to see Hocker or Teare WITH Fisher, McGorty, Klecker or Knight in a 3/5, or would it be expected?