Official Gwen Jorgensen 5K Prediction Contest- March, 6th in Cali

Pre race workout minus the Bowerman babes. It should be noted, since Colleen has departed the babe calculation might need to be recalibrated.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2MbIqXtYfis

15:35

She looked burnt out in that 10K the other week, and she had no speed to begin with. I think she blows up going for 15:15 or so and finishes in 15:45.

DNF

I think she’s tired of being an embarrassment and although I do not believe she’s very talented, I think she’ll go 15:08 because she knows no one is buying her crap anymore.

15:19 sounds about right to me.

emr0129 wrote:

I think she’s tired of being an embarrassment and although I do not believe she’s very talented, I think she’ll go 15:08 because she knows no one is buying her crap anymore.

What form and workouts has she showed that would indicate she is going to go under the Olympic standard?

I like Gwen, but I’m sorry. Her legs look done. She might even be injured. Just hope she doesn’t injure herself worse.

JBaller33 wrote:

emr0129 wrote:

I think she’s tired of being an embarrassment and although I do not believe she’s very talented, I think she’ll go 15:08 because she knows no one is buying her crap anymore.

What form and workouts has she showed that would indicate she is going to go under the Olympic standard?

I like Gwen, but I’m sorry. Her legs look done. She might even be injured. Just hope she doesn’t injure herself worse.

Physically, she’s done nothing other than show me she can run a 15:18 outdoors. I just think over the past months she’s continually said she had a bad race or there was more in the tank, and you can only say that so much before people figure out you just aren’t very good. I think she is probably thinking that she needs a good performance tonight and MAYBE that will result in one. I don’t care for her as a runner and she turned me off from the start with her ‘Win the gold in the marathon.’ She was an good runner for triathlon but she’s got half the talent of the rest of her team.

16:00

I liked her at first but she has had every windfall and more and is still not performing. Time to be honest with herself and her fans.

I actually think Gwen has running talent, but she had a lot of factors that haven’t helped her:

1. Committed to running full time too late in her career. How many good 33 year old US runners are there besides marathoners who have moved up from the track? Honestly, that’s probably why she thought she would be a marathoner.

2. Trying to run high mileage with too big of a frame. She’s 5-10 and has a decent amount of muscle. That’s too much pounding to avoid injury, and she certainly looks injured.

3. Forgetting what made her good in the first place. She clearly responded well to heavy cross training with the triathlon. The other events gave her an aerobic engine and more power than she currently has. Power = speed.

4. Running with women who are plain and simply better than her. While it’s good to push yourself, it’s mentally draining to get beat day after day in workout after workout. The Bowerman Babes are simply the best group of US runners, and Gwen is not at that level. She could have progressed more with a lesser training group closer to her ability and still maybe had a shot at the Olympics.

emr0129 wrote:

Physically, she’s done nothing other than show me she can run a 15:18 outdoors.

You know she ran 15:18 outdoors last year, right?

15:20 +/- 5” seems likely. Anything under 15:10 or over 15:30 would be almost shockingly good, or wholly disastrous.

TylerH wrote:

16:00

I liked her at first but she has had every windfall and more and is still not performing. Time to be honest with herself and her fans.

That would be pretty rough considering she split 15:39 for the first 5k two weeks ago.

John Wesley Harding wrote:

emr0129 wrote:

Physically, she’s done nothing other than show me she can run a 15:18 outdoors.

You know she ran 15:18 outdoors last year, right?

15:20 +/- 5” seems likely. Anything under 15:10 or over 15:30 would be almost shockingly good, or wholly disastrous.

True, I forgot that was last year. A few people on here saying she looks injured - how can you tell?

John Wesley Harding wrote:

TylerH wrote:

16:00

I liked her at first but she has had every windfall and more and is still not performing. Time to be honest with herself and her fans.

That would be pretty rough considering she split 15:39 for the first 5k two weeks ago.

Think her fitness is going backwards right now though.

TMADDDHASFNE wrote:

Gwen is scheduled to run in Saturday night. Can we Expect Great Things?

From the Sound Running website

www.soundrunning.run/

NAZ Elite - Women’s 5000

Kellyn Taylor, Gwen Jorgensen, Weini Kelati, Alicia Monson, Dani Shanahan, Allie Buchalski, Eilish McCoglan, Grace Barnett, Fiona O”Keeffe, Taylor Werner, Molly Huddle, Kim Conley, Emily Sisson, Alli Cash

USA Standard = 15:20.00

Olympic Standard = 15:10.00

Prediction = 15:27

The winner of this contest will receive a special link to a not yet fully functional website

that will direct them to a waitlist for races they will be paying an exorbitantly high

registration fee because the demand is so high from the all the races cancelled or postponed

by the China flu.

This website might be a little too obsessed with Gwen, but the attention she gets is why she still have a career. Thanks, letsrun.

emr0129 wrote:

John Wesley Harding wrote:

You know she ran 15:18 outdoors last year, right?

15:20 +/- 5” seems likely. Anything under 15:10 or over 15:30 would be almost shockingly good, or wholly disastrous.

True, I forgot that was last year. A few people on here saying she looks injured - how can you tell?

She’s admitted to several injuries the the past year and her form is a mess right now. Looks like she’s compensating for something.

WinnytheBish wrote:

TMADDDHASFNE wrote:

Gwen is scheduled to run in Saturday night. Can we Expect Great Things?

From the Sound Running website

www.soundrunning.run/

NAZ Elite - Women’s 5000

Kellyn Taylor, Gwen Jorgensen, Weini Kelati, Alicia Monson, Dani Shanahan, Allie Buchalski, Eilish McCoglan, Grace Barnett, Fiona O”Keeffe, Taylor Werner, Molly Huddle, Kim Conley, Emily Sisson, Alli Cash

USA Standard = 15:20.00

Olympic Standard = 15:10.00

Prediction = 15:27

The winner of this contest will receive a special link to a not yet fully functional website

that will direct them to a waitlist for races they will be paying an exorbitantly high

registration fee because the demand is so high from the all the races cancelled or postponed

by the China flu.

This website might be a little too obsessed with Gwen, but the attention she gets is why she still have a career. Thanks, letsrun.

How many gold medals do the other runners we talk about have? That’s why Gwen is notable, even if it came in triathlon.

I think she's breaking down because of the intensity + mileage the Bowerman "babes" do during the winter. Maybe rewind 10 years and she would have been able to adapt.

I actually think she should adopt Weldon's 28:06 training model at this point. Slow those easy days way down and periodize the intense stuff a bit more.

Run Fan wrote:

I think she's breaking down because of the intensity + mileage the Bowerman "babes" do during the winter. Maybe rewind 10 years and she would have been able to adapt.

I actually think she should adopt Weldon's 28:06 training model at this point. Slow those easy days way down and periodize the intense stuff a bit more.

Completely agree. Maybe even just heavy on the bike or pool on easy/recovery days too. That’s what made her good.