I’d say Mantz and Clinger are locks for top 10 unless they blow up. I’m curious though if after being right behind them in the 13:30 5k if Garnica might be able to make a run at top 10 as well. If so, does BYU have a chance to pull off an upset on a seemingly unbeatable NAU team two years in a row?
The 3rd best 5k runner in the NCAA had better finish top 10.
BYU will will be very strong in this event. Who knows who else might qualify for the race from BYU.
Two different things. They won't qualify anyone else for indoor and they will have 7 guys at XC.
BYU clearly has the top end to contend. The problem for them is NAU has more 13:30 guys on their back end and BYU has a ton of guys around 14:00, but only 3 at 13:30. If a couple BYU guys step up and NAU slips they can definitely beat them, but NAU should still be considered the favorites for now.
NAU vs BYU
1. Grijalva - 13:17 5000m guy
2 Nur - highly underappreciated, extreme talent
3 Young - amazing as a freshman
4 Ferro - looking strong
5 Bosley - their top finisher from last years NCAAs is arguably only #5 - hes been chilling so far
6 Hasty - did well in his last race
7 Raff / Gorgas - both have looked great
and they have a 3:39 guy in Theo Quax also on the bench
How does BYU match up...
their 3 13:30 guys match up well with NAU's entire top5. They do have the 6 14ish guys but they would all slot in around Hasty and Raff/Gorgas.