I am 48 years old what will this world look like when l am 68

I’m 42. I can believe I’m not even halfway through my life. I feel like I’ve lived for so long already. I’m certain I’m going to live past 100. A lot of my family lived to their 90’s and treated their bodies like garbage.

I think about my days as a 16 year old and can’t believe how long ago that was. It’s just insane how much the world has changed since 1995. We never felt progressive back then. We were content. It is a completely different society.

While this thread is negative, I’m believing that things will really improve about 20 years from now. We’ll realize what a burden social media is and it will become obsolete. Someone will develop something more authentic. I feel we will make tremendous strides in climate change. I think we’ll see strong leadership coming from both the democratic and republican parties. I think we learned a lot in the past four years.

You’ll never make it to 68.

Ghost1 wrote:

6. Will people live to 115 on average. There will be many many more centenarians and 100 will be the new 80

Not a chance of this. Life expectancy in the US has risen from 68.7 to 79.0 since 1950. That is a 10-year increase in life expectancy over a period of 71 years. You really think the LE will increase 36 years in the span of only 20 years? The current United Nations projection for the US has a life expectancy of 82.1 in 2041 and 88.8 in 2100. Assuming the rate stays pretty constant we may hit 115 by the year 2300. Of course, this assumes there are no major changes. If we find a cure for cancer or heart disease the life expectancy could surge upward.

trollin' along wrote:

Ghost1 wrote:

6. Will people live to 115 on average. There will be many many more centenarians and 100 will be the new 80

Not a chance of this. Life expectancy in the US has risen from 68.7 to 79.0 since 1950. That is a 10-year increase in life expectancy over a period of 71 years. You really think the LE will increase 36 years in the span of only 20 years? The current United Nations projection for the US has a life expectancy of 82.1 in 2041 and 88.8 in 2100. Assuming the rate stays pretty constant we may hit 115 by the year 2300. Of course, this assumes there are no major changes. If we find a cure for cancer or heart disease the life expectancy could surge upward.

Wrong.

US life expectancy is going down now.

Coevett wrote:

China will have an economy at least 2 x bigger than the US and likely a bigger military.

Yep, and the Chinese will be like the Roman's in their Empire days, you're either with us or against us.

If you're with us and adopt our ways, fine.

If you're against us, or even slightly uncooperative, look out.

Oh yeah, it'll also be a lot colder than now (yep that's right, even colder, current weather is just a taste of what's to come) so the global warming cult will well and truly be a thing of the past. ? ❄️?

Good luck.

Life extension isn’t going to happen in our lifetimes, thanks to the FDA.

A starter home in sillicon valley, bellevue wa, westchester county will be pushing 3 million (perhaps even 3 million)

wages will not rise that much for the average American from 2021 levels due the liberal obsession with making every mother and women work, and immigrating millions of desperate indians, chinese, and mexicans into our labor pool. Supply equals demand

If you have not received a fat inheritance from your boomer parents (once they sell that inflated house upon death), then expect to be completely behind your peers in 2041 and likely completely unable to retire

Andy Samberg wrote:

While this thread is negative, I’m believing that things will really improve about 20 years from now. I feel we will make tremendous strides in climate change. I think we’ll see strong leadership coming from both the democratic and republican parties. I think we learned a lot in the past four years.

none of this matters when our country is completely overrun with immigrants in 20 years that care not for the american way of life, our values, our constitution etc.

you think social security will support open borders society without dismantling our capitalist system(what democrats want)?

with the current flow of immigration into this country (of socialist minded indians and chinese and uneducated latin americans that require government assistance), I for one believe this country will colllapse as a true capitalist republic. We will be forced to redistribute our wealth due to the extreme strain on the system from open borders and the tech/coastal elites trending foreign/left leaning.

trollin' along wrote:

Ghost1 wrote:

6. Will people live to 115 on average. There will be many many more centenarians and 100 will be the new 80

Not a chance of this. Life expectancy in the US has risen from 68.7 to 79.0 since 1950. That is a 10-year increase in life expectancy over a period of 71 years. You really think the LE will increase 36 years in the span of only 20 years? The current United Nations projection for the US has a life expectancy of 82.1 in 2041 and 88.8 in 2100. Assuming the rate stays pretty constant we may hit 115 by the year 2300. Of course, this assumes there are no major changes. If we find a cure for cancer or heart disease the life expectancy could surge upward.

Life expectancy isn't really the right number as traditionally it has been dominated by infant mortality. You really need to look at life expectancy for say 40 year olds. We have picked up a lot of easy gains over the past 70 years . Of your 11 year gains, about half of it is a function of the dropping in smoking rates from the 60s to today. That can't repeat. And even cures for a cancer or heart disease (we actually do have some very good cures for that. The combo of not being obese and exercising has an excellent success rate) aren't going to help much when you are talking about 115. I expect modern med to help getting the people that want to (i.e. all the smokers, nonexercisers, and obese people don't want to live a long life) to live into their mid 90s on average but 115 is just off the charts. Right now that would make you one of the 100 know oldest people with legit record keeping. We would need some serious breakthroughs for that to happen. I have a lot more faith in med making me a more functional 70-85 year old than I do to have them getting me to live past 100. Heck I have a decent amount of faith that just hitting up my local anti-aging clinic would do that if I was ok with being a doper....

trollin' along wrote:

Ghost1 wrote:

6. Will people live to 115 on average. There will be many many more centenarians and 100 will be the new 80

Not a chance of this. Life expectancy in the US has risen from 68.7 to 79.0 since 1950. That is a 10-year increase in life expectancy over a period of 71 years. You really think the LE will increase 36 years in the span of only 20 years? The current United Nations projection for the US has a life expectancy of 82.1 in 2041 and 88.8 in 2100. Assuming the rate stays pretty constant we may hit 115 by the year 2300. Of course, this assumes there are no major changes. If we find a cure for cancer or heart disease the life expectancy could surge upward.

That's a completely uninformed opinion.

Actually, if they cured all cancers tomorrow, the average life expectancy would only go up at most 5 years.

And yes, there are multiple changes coming very soon. Nobody knows yet how much they will increase life expectancy, but unlike anything else before they will actually reverse aspects of aging (such as clearing out the dead cells that are implicated in just about every age related disease).

trollin' along wrote:

Ghost1 wrote:

6. Will people live to 115 on average. There will be many many more centenarians and 100 will be the new 80

Not a chance of this. Life expectancy in the US has risen from 68.7 to 79.0 since 1950. That is a 10-year increase in life expectancy over a period of 71 years. You really think the LE will increase 36 years in the span of only 20 years? The current United Nations projection for the US has a life expectancy of 82.1 in 2041 and 88.8 in 2100. Assuming the rate stays pretty constant we may hit 115 by the year 2300. Of course, this assumes there are no major changes. If we find a cure for cancer or heart disease the life expectancy could surge upward.

This is an area that I've studied seriously for many years, including assisting in the research for a major project on antiaging.

LE at birth is not a true measure of potential life span because LE at birth includes things like accidents, murder, suicide, early infancy diseases, and even war. A better measure of LE is LE at age 65 when most of those risks are past. Here is where modern medicine has made significant strides. LE at age 65, IIRC, is now 82 for males; 84 for females. LE is a few years higher if you are a nonsmoker, white collar worker, middle to above average income, college educated, not overweight, and not Black/Hispanic. Add no serious pre-existing conditions and LE at 65 jumps to about 92 for men... not sure for women... maybe 94?

LE at 65 is increasing 1.5 years/decade. Even if we reach "longevity escape velocity," that is, essentially immortality with LE increasing one year every year, it's going to take a long time to reach 115.

The major obstacle to aging is not cancer, heart disease, and other senior illnesses. It's frailty due to aging cells. To cure aging, we will need to not only find cures for cancer and heart disease, we will need to find ways to stop and reverse cellular aging. It's theoretically possible.

Oh, I should add that it's more than just theoretically possible to reverse cellular aging. It's been done on a limited scale already.

48 and 78 wrote:

What major changes will happen? Will the world be a lot different? Will they have track meets on Mars? Will 68 year olds run 14 flat 5ks. Will shoes run for you? Will people live to 115 on average. Will this site be here? Will Facebook be around? Will we all still be around or will some virus kill everyone?

Terminator 3. The machines won.

48 and 78 wrote:

What major changes will happen? Will the world be a lot different? Will they have track meets on Mars? Will 68 year olds run 14 flat 5ks. Will shoes run for you? Will people live to 115 on average. Will this site be here? Will Facebook be around? Will we all still be around or will some virus kill everyone?

If about half of America doesn't get their heads out of the a***** and (get back to) seeing lying as a bad thing, and not view everything as us-versus-them, the US could be a REAL sh******.

I used to have optimism about things getting gradually better. The era of Trump showed me how naive that was. Our citizenry s**** way more than I thought it did.

runningwiththetrolls1212 wrote:

none of this matters when our country is completely overrun with immigrants in 20 years that care not for the american way of life, our values, our constitution etc.

.

Yeah.

It will be just like 1492 all over again.

Wow. What makes you think that the average immigrant - legal or illegal - could possibly be less in step with those "values" than the folks - mostly Republicans/Trump supports - who are most against immigrants? Do any of us have ANY reason to believe that the average Central American values honesty less than half of America? No. They saw blatant dishonesty HOURLY for 4 years, and were OK with it. Respect for life? Ignoring a pandemic is a curious way to show that. The Constitution? Are you kidding us? The Constitution enshrines DEMOCRACY. Roughly HALF of America said that they were OK with overturning democracy.

I spent 40+ years thinking that we shouldn't be so tolerant of illegal immigration. Still kind of annoys me that we give benefits to those who broke the law. BUT, the Trump era has strongly suggested me.....if they come in and dilute the Trumpers, I'll take that. Easily. Live next door to a Trump flag or an illegal alien? No brainer.

Your view of the US is so bad, and so literally backward.

Signed,

A Life-Long Conservative Who Shakes His Head A Lot in Disgust

The future for the USA is bleak. Republican legislators gerrymander congressional districts and restrict voting rights so Republicans win the house . Biden dies, Harris is caught in a scandal when she denies having an abortion as a teenager. Trump is re-elected. A bombing occurs at the Capitol. Trump blames antifa, declares martial law , executes Democratic and Republican senators who crossed him And is dictator. He dies and Trump Jr. replaces him .

trollin' along wrote:

Ghost1 wrote:

6. Will people live to 115 on average. There will be many many more centenarians and 100 will be the new 80

Not a chance of this. Life expectancy in the US has risen from 68.7 to 79.0 since 1950. That is a 10-year increase in life expectancy over a period of 71 years. You really think the LE will increase 36 years in the span of only 20 years? The current United Nations projection for the US has a life expectancy of 82.1 in 2041 and 88.8 in 2100. Assuming the rate stays pretty constant we may hit 115 by the year 2300. Of course, this assumes there are no major changes. If we find a cure for cancer or heart disease the life expectancy could surge upward.

My bad and thank you for the reality check. I don’t think people are necessarily healthier but I think that medical science has the ability to prolong life for older people even if those people are basically diseased and ill and to me that is not a good thing. But it seems my projections were way out of wack based on your assessment.

Two equally uninformed individuals taking about something they are completely clueless on. I'm far from an expert myself, but I do follow the latest science and discussion in longevity circles. You two thinking you have a reasonable opinion on this is as sensible as asking two random people in the street what the 10K world record will be in 2048.

Also, the advances likely to impact on life extension in the next few decades are of a radically different type.

Yes, if it was about simply curing cancer etc, then you'd simply be prolonging people's old age by a few more years. It's not this. It's about reversing the damage of aging, so an 80 year old is as healthy as a 60 year old (today).

I think what Ghost1 is worried about is if people live longer in the West, there will be less resources for the billions of Africans and Asians who will be added to the planet's population over the next century.