Mile Predictions PLEASE

4:59.

You a junior in HS?

Lot's of potential there, based on what you've listed.

The 800s of 17ish and 27ish is just under 6 min pace, but done in a productive way.

Perhaps go for 2:15 in the 800m, or for 3:30 in the 3/4.

Then the mile can come later.

If you can focus on the shorter distances first, maybe do 600m at 800m pace, then rest 10 min. Follow that with 6 x 300m cut-downs: 58, 56, 54, 52, 50, 48 with 100m walk between.

Thanks for the input, I'm a sophomore in HS. I am doing a mile to get my baseline for fitness then I'm going to do double such as the 600/1k double. Come spring I am going to focus on the 2 miles and I aiming for 10:00. I still have a month and a half till indoor starts and 2 months of indoor until outdoor starts.

Aspiring Runner wrote:

Thanks for the input, I'm a sophomore in HS. I am doing a mile to get my baseline for fitness then I'm going to do double such as the 600/1k double. Come spring I am going to focus on the 2 miles and I aiming for 10:00. I still have a month and a half till indoor starts and 2 months of indoor until outdoor starts.

If that's what you want.

Looks like a good year for you.

Growing is a big catalyst for improvement, combined with talent and aspirations.

I didn't know why the rush to distance.

I did go though 3200m in 10:02 in the fresh-soph conference in 10:04 and passed 1600m in 4:34, both wins. Then I ran 9:52 for 3200m in the district meet as varsity.

However, I also was 2:04 earlier in the year for 800m on a relay split, and if focused on the 800m in the fresh-soph conf, I would have run about 2:00.

Junior year I was 800/1600 runner.

Maybe you are a 1600/3200 type runner. I don't know your 200m or 400m times, which will get faster anyway during your soph year.

I haven't grown in about a year or two but physically I am getting a lot stronger, last year I ran 4:57 in the mile and 11:04 in the two miles but I've been really working to be a 2-mile guy because I think that's where my potential is. Last week I did a 3-mile tempo at 5:45 a mile then 4x200 and I kept the 200s relaxed but fast my splits were 27,29,30,30 so I definitely can run a fast 200. Also in 8th grade, I was an 800 guy and even ran the 4x100 once with a split of just sub 12, as well as being able to run about 59 as an 8th grader.

Aspiring Runner wrote:

I haven't grown in about a year or two but physically I am getting a lot stronger, last year I ran 4:57 in the mile and 11:04 in the two miles but I've been really working to be a 2-mile guy because I think that's where my potential is. Last week I did a 3-mile tempo at 5:45 a mile then 4x200 and I kept the 200s relaxed but fast my splits were 27,29,30,30 so I definitely can run a fast 200. Also in 8th grade, I was an 800 guy and even ran the 4x100 once with a split of just sub 12, as well as being able to run about 59 as an 8th grader.

You are an 800m guy.

Unless your HS is loaded with 800m stars, I'd focus there if you want to.

We had lots of great 800 runners, and I was one of them--4 guys under 1:55 two years in a row.

I ran CC. You missed your soph year, I am guessing. I was 3rd man on the team, and 3rd in the fresh-soph conf in 13:09 for 2.5 miles (we swept the top 3 places). Junior year I was 2nd man on a team that was expected to compete for the championship, but I got injured just before the state meet and ran 30 seconds slower and 40+ points higher than they runners I normally finished with. But we hardly every lost a CC meet.

Our 1st runner my junior year was great for 3200 and 3-mile CC, and only one other runner in the state could stay with him. He didn't have your leg speed, still ran high quality miles (4:24 as a soph).

So, you can do both, if you want.

My HS had 1 800 guys 2 years ago that ran 1;56 but we didn't have a season last year. For CC I was #2 on my team with a 17:30s-17:50s (we raced 3 5ks) and now I'm going to be the #1 for the mile and up and next year ill be roughly 2+ minutes ahead of the next guy on our team so I'm in a bad place because next year I'll be #1 in the 400 and up it looks like, maybe even for the 200 if no one new comes in. Our School records are 9:39 for 2 miles and 4:24 for the mile so my goal is to take the 2-mile junior year and the mile senior year. Also, I mainly train with my coaches (Male,30s,) who can run about 17 for a 5k and is a marathoner, and my other coach(Femail, Training for 4:40 mile with a PR of 4:47)

My overall goals for high school are to break the mile school record, run NXN(I'm in new England) and run either 2 miles or 5k at NBNO

Wow. We had 5 guys on our team go sub 9:39 in 2019. we will probably have a 9:05, 9:25, and 9:35 this year.

Mighty small school. You know what you want, so great.

I don't think that is the best path to breaking the mile record, because I would be focusing on running fast 200s and 400s, even better if you can be on the 4 x 400m and even the 4 x 200m. Great way to get the speed for a fast 800m.

As for fast miles, I also ran those, but more my senior year. I still rather would run the 800m and I did.

That's a pretty fast mile time for a female, even more so for a coach.

Sounds like you're knocking on the door of 4:40. Dk if the strength is there yet but you're close & I wouldn't be shocked if you ran 4:35-4:40 pretty soon. 4:45-4:50 is probably about right for now. Race smart. Go out in 70ish, 72 might be better for you than 68.

I ran 4:59 but lead the race from 200 meters in and had 2 seconds on the field at all times. My splits were roughly 35,38,39,39,38,37,36,34 which comes out to 4:56 but with decimals it adds up. I know with better competition and more races under my belt I can run faster so I will be running next weekend, the 30th, and I’ll be in a faster heat with guys running roughly 4:46-4:57 to compete with and I think I can run low 4:50s.

Nice work and congratulations on the win. No reason you can't aim for the same result next week. You don't need to front run again, but don't count yourself out. Start off smart, tuck in, work your way up, and see what you can do over the last lap or two.

Thank you, I will be in a much faster heat so I will make my pacing a little more aggressive and work with the pack, I’m thinking 2:24ish through 800 and then pushing my next 2 laps then taking my last 2 laps home as usual with as much of a kick as I can get.

Alright I ended up racing today in a much faster heat and I ran 4:47 for the mile, thank you for everyone commenting on this forum, next I’m on to sub 4:40.