How fast can I go?

High School Running Distance

3 years ago 01/18/2021 9:35am EST

I know that it's impossible to actual predict how fast I can actually run but I want to get serious about my running and I am wondering how fast would someone predict I can run. I am a Junior in high school this year and I want to get serious about my running. I gave been running for 4 years now and I haven't really taken them seriously. I have not ran more than a 40 mile week yet and these are my times.

Cross Country 5k - 16:15

1600- 4:40 (This was freshman year I haven't had a track season since)

3200- 10:02 (This was also freshman year.)

800- 2:08 (I ran this in the 4x800 after all my other events.)

All of my freshman year times were ran with 25-30 mpw and no speed since we did not have a track freshman year.

I haven't had a track season since freshman year so the times aren't very fast. I have improved in Cross Country a decent amount but I don't consider myself a Cross Country runner.

My goal by senior year is to break all the school records I can.

School record times:

1600- 4:15

3200- 9:20

800- 1:54

Do you think its possible for me to achieve these times?

3 years ago 01/18/2021 9:39am EST

re: Brassden

Also I recently found out my vo2 max is around 70mL/kg/min. I don't know if this will help with anything but.

3 years ago 01/18/2021 9:42am EST

re: Brassden

Not impossible, but I would have been more optimistic if you weren't already midway through your Junior year. Probably getting too late of a start, but 4:2x for the mile is well within your grasp.

3 years ago 01/19/2021 10:03am EST

re: Brassden

unless you got this results from an actual lab test, take it with a grain of salt. the watch can be a bit inaccurate as it just uses hr/pace, and that can be a little bit off. I think you have tons of room for improvement just from doing more mileage, so that is a good factor for you. depending on if youre more speed/endurance guy, that 800 seems the most attainable.

3 years ago 01/19/2021 11:06am EST

re: Brassden

THE WORLD IS YOUR OYSTER

3 years ago 01/19/2021 11:54am EST

re: Brassden

Brassden wrote:
School record times:
1600- 4:15
3200- 9:20
800- 1:54
Do you think its possible for me to achieve these times?

First thing first, you should try to increase your weekly mileage. You also need to do more speed workouts, seems like you lack natural speed. Based on your 5k PR of 16:15 I'd say your more likely to get 9:20 first, then 4:15 and lastly the 1:54. I know a good amount of runners who have ran sub 9:20 3200, sub 4:20 1600, but could never run sub 1:55 800, because running sub 1:55 800 is moving compared to the 1600, 3200.

cheers!

3 years ago 01/22/2021 10:19pm EST

re: GarminGuy

Yeah it’s from my Garmin watch. I heard they were decently accurate but for sure I will take it with a grain of salt.

3 years ago 01/22/2021 10:20pm EST

re: oldschoollrc

Thanks. I really like it’s doable I’m just nervous since I lost a whole year of track.

3 years ago 01/22/2021 10:25pm EST

re: Iamjustsaying

Iamjustsaying wrote:
Brassden wrote:
School record times:
1600- 4:15
3200- 9:20
800- 1:54
Do you think its possible for me to achieve these times?
First thing first, you should try to increase your weekly mileage. You also need to do more speed workouts, seems like you lack natural speed. Based on your 5k PR of 16:15 I'd say your more likely to get 9:20 first, then 4:15 and lastly the 1:54. I know a good amount of runners who have ran sub 9:20 3200, sub 4:20 1600, but could never run sub 1:55 800, because running sub 1:55 800 is moving compared to the 1600, 3200.
cheers!

Yeah based on my prs it shows that way but in my opinion I am more of a speed guy. Freshman year I ran the 1600 twice and focused more on the 3200. I think if I ran the 1600 more I could have been around 4:3x. Also I didn’t mention this but my 400 pr is 56. It’s not too fast but also freshman year.

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