Marathon Project predictions

---

dsadasc wrote:
Faubs: 2:11.42

Jared Ward: 2:11.01

No one else matters in the men's field. Hope the two above prove me wrong by running 2:09, and I hope others do as well. Until you go sub 2:10 I just can't dedicate much energy.

Sara Hall: 2:21.47 - probably shouldn't have run a marathon in training a few weeks ago. Legs trashed.

No one else should come close to Sara. Hope they prove me wrong.

Maybe there are dark-horses I am missing???!

---

---

dsadasc wrote:
Faubs: 2:11.42

Jared Ward: 2:11.01

No one else matters in the men's field.

---

This is probably the most trash take I’ve seen on letsrun in a long time. They have two main pace groups: one for 2:09:30, and one for 2:11:30. If they don’t break 2:10 they seriously botched. It’s the flattest course ever conceived.

My money is on CJ Albertson for the win. Uncertain of time, but Faubs hasn’t been putting in any big mileage and that always makes things less guaranteed imo. I’m doubtful Ward is in A+ fitness too. I bet they’re both top 8, but I doubt either wins.

---

DirtyT wrote:
This is probably the most trash take I’ve seen on letsrun in a long time. They have two main pace groups: one for 2:09:30, and one for 2:11:30. If they don’t break 2:10 they seriously botched. It’s the flattest course ever conceived.

My money is on CJ Albertson for the win. Uncertain of time, but Faubs hasn’t been putting in any big mileage and that always makes things less guaranteed imo. I’m doubtful Ward is in A+ fitness too. I bet they’re both top 8, but I doubt either wins.

---

I agree, OP's points are absolutely trash

No way does 2:11 win the race. This is a time trial...for record-setting and contract bonuses. This is not the olympic trials...

Ward hasn't proven anything in a year so count him out anyway. CJ Albertson is due for another breakout marathon after his Trials run. look for 2:09 from him

Cam Levins is my prediction for the winner. Some bias there as he has a strava account with some of his long run workouts so it's clear he's fit and ready. for a guy of his ability, that's enough for me.

womens race won't be as interesting most likely. Sara Hall FTW

The thing with Hall is that she doesn't have a history of racing well in consecutive marathons.
I like Bates in 2:24.

I'm getting roasted. I hope I'm wrong!

Faubs has had some weeks above 100 miles. Though, they've primarily been 90-100.

Ward's career may be trashed if he can't break 2:11 on this course.

Where's that dude that got second at the trials? Why in tar is he not running this thing? Isn't he wearing ON shoes or sum? If he can't get a pair of cheaterflies on he's got absolutely no shot.

Oh, and Taylor, probably Bruce and D'amato too.
I think this group can go 2:24-2:25. Not sure how much faster. But I feel like they will get after it.

---

DirtyT wrote:
This is probably the most trash take I’ve seen on letsrun in a long time. They have two main pace groups: one for 2:09:30, and one for 2:11:30. If they don’t break 2:10 they seriously botched. It’s the flattest course ever conceived.

My money is on CJ Albertson for the win. Uncertain of time, but Faubs hasn’t been putting in any big mileage and that always makes things less guaranteed imo. I’m doubtful Ward is in A+ fitness too. I bet they’re both top 8, but I doubt either wins.

---

1. Bennie
2. Albertson
3. Fauble.

All will run 2.09.xx

Will come down to a sprint finish between those three.

Mesfun, Hehir and Levins will be in the top eight.

It's a shame Connor McMillan isn't running, he and Klecker will both run under 2.08 one day.

---

OG Coconino Cowboy wrote:
1. Bennie
2. Albertson
3. Fauble.

All will run 2.09.xx

Will come down to a sprint finish between those three.

Mesfun, Hehir and Levins will be in the top eight.

It's a shame Connor McMillan isn't running, he and Klecker will both run under 2.08 one day.

---

Albertson for the win in 2:08:50

Hall for the win in 1:20:20 just cap off this $hit show of a year.

wish frank lara was running. hes been rolling

3 guys will run sub 2:09.
8 guys will run sub 2:10.

Sara Hall 2:19:10.

Keira D'Amato FTW!!!

Darkhorse Ben Preisner of Canada takes the win

That would be a great outcome. For US runners, have there ever been that many finishing sup 2:10? I think not as it is usually 2 or 3 even in marathon majors races. I like Sara's chances to set an American Record. She ran most of the London race essentially by herself and finished incredibly strong. It would be great if there were a handful of women say 2:23 or faster

This race is about Hall and no one else. I think she'll come home in 2:19-low.

The men's race is almost irrelevant, uncompetitive in global terms

Has anyone figured out how much faster the new shoes are than the old ones, Lots of people running way faster than they have before, some runners have said their good times were much faster than they have thought they were capable of is it like 1 Minute? 2 Minutes? in the Marathon, and how much in the Half.

People predicting 3 Americans under 2:09 in the same race, about 2 years ago, now it seems possible even though the big guns like Rupp, L. Korir and others are not in the race, Mostly developmental runners in this race, not established stars (Hall is the exception) I am expecting MANY HUGE PERSONAL BEST'S