Heard mentality bro wrote:
I remember when every one of your posts promoted the concept of herd immunity. Have you given up on that so easily?
Not at all, I just accept the fact that about half of our country is ruled by democratic governors that are fools (look at New York, where they actually have herd immunity, and still refuse to reopen schools). In an ideal world without 24/7/365 news cycle, the virus would have run its course months ago and we would be back to normal. The old and weak would have died and the strong would have survived (two thirds of those that have died from this would likely have succumbed to their comorbidities at this point regardless of COVID).
I fear the economic ramifications more than I fear the virus, as the economic ramifications lead to the deaths of despair, loss of medical benefits, etc. that are far wider reaching and far more impactful in terms of life loss. Many of the people losing jobs, overdosing, etc. are younger people with younger kids that rely on that individual to provide income, benefits, etc. Most of the old people dying are mostly drawing benefits and not contributing much in the way of support to others (in fact many of their dependents are more likely to profit off of their loss if they are dying before their retirement funds run out).
Herd immunity (either through exposure to the wild virus or vaccine) is ultimately the only end to this epidemic (the New Zealand approach does not work in the larger world because the rest of the world does not have the climate or ability to control transportation that New Zealand has). In order to achieve herd immunity about .1-.2% of a population has to die (in the US, that would represent 330k-660k people). Additionally, the degree of damage that New Zealand has inflicted on their economy is not sustainable as either pockets of the virus will continue to pop up or they will have to continue to shut their boders and close the large portion of their economy that is dependent on tourism until they have a vaccine. Given that they are in a collective with non-contributing countries on a vaccine, their economy will not emerge from the doldrums for another year if they do not have the stomach to accept the fact that a small percentage of their older, sicker populace will die from this.
In my town, life has been fairly normal since about June (restaurants open, in-person education, businesses open, etc.). We have had a small number of COVID deaths. We have had three times as many excess overdose deaths and two times as many excess at home cardiac arrests from people not seeking care due to COVID fears during the peak lockdown months. In my town we had 5 times the number of excess deaths from those factors than we have had from COVID. And we are not alone in that stat:
https://www.msn.com/en-ca/news/canada/overdose-crisis-affecting-more-british-columbians-than-covid-19-survey/ar-BB18X8VWhttps://www.msn.com/en-in/news/other/covid-19-and-cardiac-health-delay-in-treatment-diagnosis-due-to-pandemic-impacting-your-heart-e2-80-99s-health/ar-BB195huu