baa baa wool wrote:
Clown World Resident wrote:
If there's a 0.5-1% fatality rate and those who die had an average of 5-10 years life expectancy then that makes it a couple weeks. So he was on the right order of magnitude.
10 years average life lost.
162k dead
5 million cases
Redo your math - he ain’t close, let alone relevant.
Well considering half of the deaths are nursing home those people Covid is generally reducing life expectancy from a few months to not at all. You're assuming everyone else who dies has on average 20 years which is false, most are very sick people. Given the actual IFR is around .2% at the highest, 1 week is probably close. No idea where you people keep getting these absurd IFRs. Every responsible projection has in excess of 80 million Americans having had Covid. This thing spreads quickly. Sweden reached herd immunity with .06% of their population dieing of Covid. To have an IFR of .5% youd have to assume only 10% of their population got Covid which is false.