Yes or No: Joe Biden will win the presidency

sbeefyk2===biased and wrong again wrote:

28% is NOT a realistic chance. You must be demented to a whole different level. It was suppose to be a landslide victory. Love it when liberals lie. You REALLY like to distort facts.

Wow.

Somebody really doesn't understand probabilities.

Sleepy Joe? The guy who thinks "120 MILLION" Americans have died of COVID-19? ???

I can hardly wait until the debates (if Sleepy Joe won't forget the dates, times & venues ?).

It's Trump in a landslide! ?

sbeefyk2===biased and wrong again wrote:

28% is NOT a realistic chance. You must be demented to a whole different level.

You must be shocked when a .280 hitter makes a base hit.

sbeefyk2===biased and wrong again wrote:

It was suppose to be a landslide victory. Love it when liberals lie. You REALLY like to distort facts.

Wrong.

trollism wrote:

sbeefyk2===biased and wrong again wrote:

28% is NOT a realistic chance. You must be demented to a whole different level. It was suppose to be a landslide victory. Love it when liberals lie. You REALLY like to distort facts.

Wow.

Somebody really doesn't understand probabilities.

You're demented, period. The links are wrong and you are right??? LOL!!!

Stick to your local 5k and talking with other old folks about topics that you are lost on.

You're welcome and please contact the the 3 links to teach them probabilities, LOL AGAIN at YOU;)

Democrat here.

Trump wins again is my guess.

The kind of people who support him follow him blindly and almost mindlessly.

Biden does not have that kind of hold or enthusiasm on his supporters.

I can think of many Trump voters who will vote Biden in 2020. They all share the following characteristics... educated, wealthy fiscal conservatives who held their nose and voted republican in 2016 that have since been pushed over the ledge on Trump. This is a meaningless and somewhat irrelevant portion of the electorate.

Jeff Wigand wrote:

sbeefyk2===biased and wrong again wrote:

28% is NOT a realistic chance. You must be demented to a whole different level.

You must be shocked when a .280 hitter makes a base hit.

sbeefyk2===biased and wrong again wrote:

It was suppose to be a landslide victory. Love it when liberals lie. You REALLY like to distort facts.

Wrong.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-is-just-a-normal-polling-error-behind-clinton/

Wrong. Nice try on picking one weak link. Hillary was suppose to win in a landslide. Glad you're still upset over her getting her butt kicked!:):):)

highhoppingworm wrote:

I can think of many Trump voters who will vote Biden in 2020. They all share the following characteristics... educated, wealthy fiscal conservatives who held their nose and voted republican in 2016 that have since been pushed over the ledge on Trump. This is a meaningless and somewhat irrelevant portion of the electorate.

Well your anecdotes are different than mine. I'll guess we'll see if he gets fewer votes.

Why is a prediction made three weeks before an election supposed to be more accurate than one made right before an election? The best analysis right before the election said that Trump had a 1 in 3 chance, so it was an upset, but not anymore than throwing a dice and betting that 1 or 2 hits versus a 3, 4, 5 or 6.

Didn't Clinton win the popular vote last time? And didn't Trump get unexpected wins in multiple swing states?

I have to think Biden will win, but he will need a running mate that is a hell of a lot more interesting than Mike Pence.

Someone like AOC. Young, female, super liberal.

The hate for Trump will make a lot of people that wouldn't have otherwise voted, go to polls just to stick it to him this time.

What I keep hearing about the 2016 election is that the democrats were too complacent when it came to actually going out and voting because they figured Trump couldn't win. I think that will rectify itself.

I don't see how the US prospers with another 4 years of Trump.

Joe Biden is a influence peddler not a decision maker.

We cannot afford to have him as president.

Biden won't win the election. He won't have to. Trump is doing everything he can to lose it. Finally, he will succeed at something.

I have no idea. If the economy goes to hell before the election I think Trump will lose. If not, he'll win just because Biden is such a weak candidate.

Oh Please wrote:

Didn't Clinton win the popular vote last time? And didn't Trump get unexpected wins in multiple swing states?

I have to think Biden will win, but he will need a running mate that is a hell of a lot more interesting than Mike Pence.

Someone like AOC. Young, female, super liberal.

The hate for Trump will make a lot of people that wouldn't have otherwise voted, go to polls just to stick it to him this time.

What I keep hearing about the 2016 election is that the democrats were too complacent when it came to actually going out and voting because they figured Trump couldn't win. I think that will rectify itself.

I don't see how the US prospers with another 4 years of Trump.

AOC is exactly what Biden doesn’t need. She’s not an option anyway as she too young.

Trump will definitely win. He has a huge base of support that hasn't abandoned him since the 2016 election. While there are likely plenty of conservatives who are unhappy with how he's done, I can't see them picking Biden in November. The democratic party is perhaps as disfavored as it has ever been in the modern era - they shafted Bernie and decided on perhaps the most disliked candidate in the race. Everyone knows this and I anticipate that many people, likely including myself, will stay home or write in when it comes to the election.

Biden is something that no one asked for, yet the MSM knows that they need Trump to win to ensure their fading dominance over the airwaves (which will inevitably fade due to newer forms of media) and he's the only candidate who can lose to him in the right

The Eternal 2016 will continute....

Trumps base isn’t enough to carry the election though. It’s probably 20% -25% of what he needs. What happened last time was moderates give him a chance. He’s gotta hold out hope in the swing states that happens again but support is eroding fast. He could lose the popular vote 40-60% but if he can convince those moderates again in the swing states he’ll win. Gotta win all swing states though. Full sweep of blue wall plus - FL, NC, AZ. GA or TX might end up being a swing state so he’ll have to waste time campaigning in states that have historically red. Fascinating stuff this year. This will be something that’s analyzed and talked about forever. If nothing else Trump has written himself into the history books for that reason alone.

Bra-ket wrote:

Trump will definitely win. He has a huge base of support that hasn't abandoned him since the 2016 election. While there are likely plenty of conservatives who are unhappy with how he's done, I can't see them picking Biden in November. The democratic party is perhaps as disfavored as it has ever been in the modern era - they shafted Bernie and decided on perhaps the most disliked candidate in the race. Everyone knows this and I anticipate that many people, likely including myself, will stay home or write in when it comes to the election.

Biden is something that no one asked for, yet the MSM knows that they need Trump to win to ensure their fading dominance over the airwaves (which will inevitably fade due to newer forms of media) and he's the only candidate who can lose to him in the right

The Eternal 2016 will continute....

Biden will win, but we're screwed either way. I for one don't understand how we keep ending up in this position of having to pick between the best of two terrible choices.

Trump literally said that Biden is going to win.

https://www.thedailybeast.com/trump-seemingly-tells-sean-hannity-that-biden-will-win-saying-hes-going-to-be-your-president