Seven day COVID case totals reach record levels, everybody panic

Still record numbers of cases. Still declining deaths. Cases increased about 44% last week and are 28% above the April peak (it is worth noting that there were 10% more tests than the week before and about triple the number of April, so in reality, case loads are likely far below what they were in April). That being said, 7-day death totals declined by 6% and are 73.2% below what they were at the peak of the epidemic in April.

States with the most new deaths per million residents:

New Jersey 239

Delaware 74

Illinois 35

Arizona 34

Mississippi 32

Rhode Island 31

Massachusetts 29

District Of Columbia 24

Louisiana 21

New Hampshire 21

Maryland 17

Alabama 16

Connecticut 16

Virginia 14

Pennsylvania 14

New York 14

Arkansas 13

Georgia 13

South Carolina 12

Nebraska 12

Florida 12

Indiana 12

South Dakota 11

Ohio 11

New Mexico 11

California 11

Minnesota 9

Tennessee 8

North Carolina 8

Texas 7

Missouri 7

Kentucky 7

Michigan 7

Iowa 6

Wisconsin 6

Washington 5

Colorado 5

Nevada 4

Kansas 4

Oklahoma 4

Oregon 3

Utah 3

Alaska 3

North Dakota 3

West Virginia 2

Montana 2

Maine 1

Idaho 1

Hawaii 1

Vermont 0

Wyoming 0

Don't be an idiot. Keep wearing masks in crowds and try to maintain social distance.

Deaths lag positives by about 27 days.

The current surge in cases is very scary in that testing is not keeping up at all with demand. Texas looks like it has leveled off at @5-6k new cases a day, but that is just because testing capacity has been maxed out.

Hospital data clearly shows a very dangerous trajectory in Texas, with ICU space filling up rapidly and a very short time before surge capacity will be blown. The Governor's response? Shut down public access to ICU information from the Texas Medical Center and make the hospital CEO go on TV to say everything is super.

But at least they left in place the slide that shows the positive rate for the Houston area being at about 4=5% for almost the duration of the outbreak until the phase 2 reopening around Memorial day weekend. Then, positive rate shoots up to 22%.

https://www.texastribune.org/2020/06/27/coronavirus-testing-texas/

https://www.click2houston.com/news/local/2020/06/29/texas-medical-center-pulls-icu-numbers-from-covid-19-resource-website/

https://www.tmc.edu/coronavirus-updates/covid-19-testing-trends/

Like most boys his age Roy tends to know way less about why he feels certain ways about the objects and pursuits he’s devoted to than he does about the objects and pursuits themselves.

ICU space if filling up rapidly, they shut down public access to ICU Info.... I smell a conspiracy

El Keniano wrote:

What happened to these people?

https://edition.cnn.com/2020/06/12/us/ozarks-missouri-party-coronavirus-positive/index.html

Lol at CNN following this like a hawk. Probably disappointed that they aren't dying.

The headlines about alarming numbers of positive test is pure alarmist agenda from the media and government.

At the start of this they were saying an 85% infection rate, so why are we freaking out about positive tests when people A) aren't dying B) are asymptomatic C) could have had this back in Feb but are just now being tested?

If you are old or have a compromised health issue, you should quarantine yourself; otherwise, go on about your day.

Conspiracies require some element of clandestine action. This is all but out in the open. The governor chose hospital capacity metrics as his guide for reopening instead of the CDC metric of 14 days of declining positives. The Texas Med Center website was clearly showing that the Governor's hospital capacity metrics were about two weeks from being blown out of the water. Then, you have Dr. Hotez going public and calling for swift action. The governor closes bars, tubing (pretty much a floating Bourbon St. in Texas), and limits restaurants to 50% capacity (widely ignored), but that is it. State department of health then goes and has a call with the Texas Med Center to tell them that they do not like the narrative and "request" changes (hospitals are dependent on state and fed bailout funding as money from elective procedures has dried up causing huge losses--"request" = "require"). Suddenly, Tex Med Center comes out and says everything is fine and scrubs info from the website.

This is real and is happening in my back yard. My secretary's kid got sent home from daycare because he had a bad cough. The daycare then had to shut down for two weeks because one of the kids tested positive. My secretary now has to quarantine for two weeks. She could not get an appointment to get tested until next week. The testing site in my neighborhood had to switch to appointment only after long lines of cars started causing traffic jams and people were going to the bathroom on the side of the road because the wait times were so long. Improved testing capacity was something that was supposed to come with reopening. It is clearly a joke right now.

A dad at my kid's school broke his leg last week. He had to go to the ER for surgery to set the fracture. He waited 24 hours on a hospital bed in a hallway for surgery. There will be no public firework displays this weekend. So, everyone is going to do DIY displays and end up in the ER just as COVID hospitalizations are going to start peaking (at least we all hope they peak soon).

This is no hoax. This is not something you just have to buck up and deal with. This is a complete systemic failure of our health system and government. I have a bunch of French ex-pat friends in my neighborhood. They all love the US because taxes are low, they can live in a big house with a big yard and they do not have to spend all their time crammed in the Metro trying to get around. They are all starting to make plans to move back to France. They see no way that the US will ever be livable while this virus is allowed to rage completely out of control. People in France are starting to get back to normal and have extremely low chances of getting the virus.

“my inviolable government and health system failed! Now I might have more personal responsibility, as in like instead of taking my kids to a place to be raised by strangers who could t possibly give enough attention to all the kids in their care, eek I have to raise them myself. All of this is heading in a direction where I must choose to take personal responsibility or ignore reality hand over decision making power to people outside my orbit so that I don’t have to worry or stress and so I can watch that new hot show alone on Netflix.”

Taxes are so low? Have you ever heard that inflation is an indirect tax?

We'll be fine as long as we don't go back to sticking Covid Patients in nursing homes. Young healthy people getting the virus is fine and will push us towards herd immunity. This is no worse, actually not even as bad, as the flu to relatively healthy people. A huge portion of the healthcare overload in hard hit areas was due to people from nursing homes. Protect those people and other super sick and let the rest of us go back to mostly normal.

Come up with a plan for hard hit areas and handle them seperately. If Houston ICU's are filling up either enact measures there, or shift resources from the 99% of the country that has extra capacity. Let's not shut everything down again because one city is hard hit.