MIAC Cross-Country 2009

Chris Massey, easily

I think UST might have a slight edge on everyone else on paper, but that is with out considering the conditions this Saturday. The Johnnies are mudders, their Mothers were mudders, their Mother's Mothers were mudders. They were breed to race well in muddy conditions.

It will be a close race especially with St. Olaf, Hamline, and Augsburg mixing it up as well. Speaking of Augsburg, when was the last time they placed in the top 5 at conference. If they do it, this would probably be the best team they have had in decades. Hats of to them and Coach Barker.

UST or STU wrote:

I would agree except it is obvious the Ruon crashes when it is cold. The high is predicted at 43 degrees with rain or snow. I know it can change but it's likely it will still be cold. I say Greeno. He still hasn't been conference champ and it looks like he isn't slowing down at the end of the season like he has before. I would throw Wade and haglund up there too. Possibly Bauer because he has been looking pretty good to and the hamdogs usually don't peak early in cross. I have to say UST is going to win and it will be a toss up for 2-4.

While Ruon has had some bad races in the cold, he did finish 22 at nationals in 30 degree weather. So just because it is cold doesn't mean that you should count of Ruon.

Counting out Ruon is silly...just silly, the guy is a talent plain and simple

The Johnnies like to play in the mud too...if you get what im saying

I think the tommies have got to be the favorite but it should be a close and exciting race. Looking forward to run the course beforehand!

New forecast- 48, partly cloudy, 12mph winds.

MIAC Monday wrote:

Watch out for Sathre for the top 3. I wouldn't rank Ruon so high--he's good, but he can't be very confident after LaX and even GRIAC. It's not likely that individuals or even teams that have done poorly in the last few meets can just "turn it on" come conference. SJU might be an exception--they're notorious for racing their best in the big races.

What the hel1 are you talking about? What about Dobuol in the outdoor 5k last spring, or Mudry in cross last fall, or Delaubenfels before that, or Metzdorff in 2005? That's exactly what people do at conference, turn it on. I will agree that it is extremely rare that someone comes out of nowhere, but it's not like Doboul has been running 27:30s all fall.

As for predictions:

Greeno

Doboul

Haglund

Ekstrom

Sathre

Bauer

Marotz

Gamble

Franta

Connell

Monson

Sames

Sanchez

Hartman

Lowder

Dobuol "turned it on" in the outdoor 5K? He ran 14:48 as a freshman...I'm not sure 15:03 and a 2nd place finish, not really challenging for the win, really constitutes "turning it on." Also, Mudry had been running well all fall, I'd say if anyone really stepped it up at MIAC last year it was Foley and Marotz.

I think Ruon's problems likely stem from the fact that he is still adjusting to collegiate level training. Remember he played soccer and thus has a lot less training under his belt than many other runners. You see a lot of runners struggle early on in their collegiate careers as they up their mileage before adapting.

I certainly would bank on an All American running poorly due to cold weather or one bad race. Ruon will be in the mix of things. Could get 1st or 6th on a good day with the current top individuals involved.

My team predictions

UST

STO

SJU

AUG

HAMdawgs

HANTA YO!

not sure i agree wrote:

Dobuol "turned it on" in the outdoor 5K? He ran 14:48 as a freshman...I'm not sure 15:03 and a 2nd place finish, not really challenging for the win, really constitutes "turning it on." Also, Mudry had been running well all fall, I'd say if anyone really stepped it up at MIAC last year it was Foley and Marotz.

Right, as a freshman. But he had not run anything that impressive the whole spring leading up to conference. This fall, he has had a couple crummy races, but that doesn't mean he still can't come back and win the thing like he did last year. My point to MIAC Monday was that there are runners ever year that run significantly better than every believes they can; even with a few bad races leading up to conference.

So are we going to get Fastnbulbous' predictions, complete with times and everything, just like the past two years?

My predictions for the team title:

The top 4 will be insanely close:

UST

Olaf

Augsburg

SJU

They're good, but not quite "that" good:

Hamline

The next three could go in any order, depending on who comes to race on Saturday:

Bethel

Gustavus

Carleton

All by themselves; without Ekstrom, they wouldn't be:

MAC

The fight to avoid last - pretty obvious without Sederquist:

St Marys

Concordia

I think Hamline should be in the mix of top 5. Maybe not win, but 3rd is certainly possible. And really, winning is not out of the question for any of the five teams. Good battle between Carleton, Bethel, and GAC. Which ever team's 3-5 runners don't suck will prevail. MAC and St. Mary's battle as Concordia should save gas and stay home. Just kidding, kind of, but they are in last all alone.

1. Borner

2. Childs-Walker

3. Branigan

4. Potter

5. Sieve

6. Roach

7. Jelen

8. Lee

9. Lowrey

10. Russ

An alum here. When is MIAC? This or next weekend? Best of luck to all of you!

This weekend. Women 2:15. Men 3:15.

wow what a race. great effort by the Hawdawgs - reminiscent of their "glory days." STO just missing them...tough day for ruon or else they probably win. who did STU think their 5th runner was going to be? And SJU...apparently not the "mudders" we thought.

Go Hamdogs! Great run. Couldn't even believe they went 2, 5 individuals! nuts[quote]ytkfdr wrote: