MN Cross Country Predictions 2022

I am going to predict the winner is the team that has the most LOW STICKS. OK now who has the most low sticks? That is the winner. WHO? Yes who is the winner because they have the most low sticks.

Gilles - Peaking at the right time

Scott - Hopefully learned his lesson from last year and conference

Jones - Could win it, usually races pretty smart

Breker - Would love to see him win it, but I think he flew a little close to the sun

Casey - Hard to predict as he hasn't been challenged recently

McArthur - Would love to see him mix it up FTW - I think he's the last guy that could take it

Lueth - Seems to be peaking well

Sutter

Mohamed

Hage - He's a gamer.

Not sure if you're talking to me, but I am far too old to be a Tonka runner.

I just made some picks to make picks. And ..... I'm a tad bit skeptical of those Rosemount Section times. Just as I'm skeptical of how slow and spread out they were at Conference. Somewhere in the middle is appropriate, which I why I think, without a low stick, they could lose out by a place or two to Tonka.

No I was talking to runner 23, but regardless you would be correct about section times as Valleywood is likely a little short, however they all packed up and it looks like they tempo-ed it so my guess is it evens out. Overall I don’t see how Tonka could beat them when they’re likely putting 5 under Tonka’s 3. And in a bigger meet like this having such a good 5th and such a low spread is a huge advantage.

No offense, but this is a horrible take. Firstly low sticks actually are less important than your backend depth in bigger meets. And that’s a statistical fact. Obviously low sticks are extremely important but that’s why Rosemount is so good despite having a top 10 runner. That being said, teams with more low sticks due tend to win just because the more faster people you have the better you’re team is obviously. But at best, this is just an obvious statement, at worst, a rotten take.

No offense, but I was joking and you failed to get the joke. Some of you are so earnest about this. It is not that important.

Also where is Sydney Drevlow? No reason she shouldn’t be second. Only MN runner she’s lost to is Nechanicky I think, and there’s no reason to suggest that changes here.

‘Twas a horribly unfunny joke if that’s the case

Yeah well there has been precious little humor in this thread…Low sticks may be serve as material for lowbrow humor but you are somewhat low in discernment if you could not grasp that I was joking, with a low bar for humor here.

The real question is, how come her 8th grade brother didn’t race at sections? Not saying that Hopkins would have made state with him.
At least his absence allowed another 8th grader on the team to get some experience racing at sections, which will be vital to the future of the program

Also what happened to the other Hopkins girl Daphne Grobstein? She is running a minute slower than she did last year. She finished third at state last year

Or maybe it just wasn’t funny. We’re trying to talk about XC here and funny jokes are definitely appreciated but making a horrible joke and then getting pressed because it’s horrible is honestly embarrassing

Since Rosemount doesn’t have a front runner, in order to win state they are gonna need to put 5 guys in the top 25 or preferably in the top 15.

I think he’s trying to make this a 1000+ post- thread. It’s like…almost there now

And senior-heavy teams also want to place as high as possible in every end-of-season meet because the seniors want to leave a legacy on the program and they know that the next year the team will be at risk of going downhill after they leave.
Those high finishes give something to the underclassmen on the team to strive for or to do better than in the future

It seems as if it is more likely to be raining in the earlier races. The AA boys race at 3:30 and it may not be raining then although maybe it will be 40ish degrees and the course would likely still be wet. Does the course get dug up much with all the races when it is wet? Let’s get this thread back on track. My bad…

The question is if Stillwater will put anyone in the top 25. Last year they didn’t

Rosemount's pack will be interesting, very well could have 5 right after Wayzata's #3. I still have to give it Wayzata overall. Gilles, Scott, Breker, Jones, Casey.

Gilles closed well at section and peaking at right time. Breker not 100%. Scott will need to let others lead in order to win, not going out too fast. Jones cant let other get 5-10 second lead at 2 miles like he does if he wants to win.

Really hoping for a lot of surprises tomorrow. Someone like Jones or Casey winning would be a big shock, even though they are capable of it. Rosemount or Lakeville North are the only two teams that could beat Wayzaya, would be surprised to see anyone else crack top 3.

Emmett Gerres and Sal Wirth looking like top 2, how close can Alden Keller be to those two? Mankato East should take the crown.

Luna could win big tomorrow defeating former state champ Schmitz who hasn't lost this year, but hasn't quite run as fast as last season.

How fast will the first two girls in class A run? Very well could beat Luna's time in AA and beat all but two in AAA. Best day of the year tomorrow for HS XC in MN, have fun everyone!

Rosemount’s coach also has a freshman son on the team (Ike) who is in the top 5 on the team for freshmen. They also have an 8th grader on the team faster than all of them and he is an alternate for the state meet.
This freshman-and-under class is not THE best in the state but looks promising. They won the freshman race at the Irish invite