If the election is held today Trump loses badly. Trump seems headed to a big lose in November but he has fighters chance to still win. It's not likely but he has a chance.
Trump and his people never underestimate the stupidity of the American voter. Here's what I believe is the plan.
(1) Deny the covid 19 crisis. This might seem crazy but it is already taking traction with a group of people. Don't wear masks or provide any image of the crisis. The Republican pitch will be yes covid was not good (just like the flu) but it was not anything close to what the liberal media is telling you. This will resonate with people. (Ignore any discussion of trump and his administration's total incompetence at preparing and handling this crisis)
(2) when the economy tanks place the blame 100% on the liberals for closing businesses down. Have a record of saying things about opening things up early. People will be frustrated and angry give them a scapegoat to blame.
(3) keep the troops in line spreading talking points. A lie repeated enough times and said with conviction becomes the new truth.
(4) scare people who have already been shaken about financial security about the progressives. Give people money with your name on the checks.
(5) only place people in power that have complete loyalty to trump. Reports from agencies, or even the justice system will be 100% pro trump.
It's a long shot for Trump but don't underestimate the republican/rusky political machine. They are very good at knowing how to manipulate people.