agip wrote:
my biggest worry is the plateauing of new cases...it's just not going down very much, despite sheltering in place. Sure, it's off the peak, and that's good. But how are people still getting this thing now? All in grocery stores?
Just saw a study of women admitted to NYC hospitals to give birth...15% were covid positive but only 2% had any symptoms.
so if that is representative of the NYC population, there's a good amount to go before we get herd immunity.
But seems positive to me that so few have symptoms. Although that will transmit the disease faster, I know.
At this point about a third of the people I know have gotten it, most unconfirmed because they couldn’t get tested. Most had awful symptoms, two neighbors in my building passed away and several were coughing blood but still were turned away due to hospital congestion. Basically, if someone is bad enough to be put on a ventilator their last days are just being managed and expectation is they won’t make it. All these people living in buildings, which is a vast majority in NYC are at very high risk of infection because they inevitably touch things others touch, door handles, elevator buttons, etc.. social distancing is also not as easy. But nobody I know has been careless, people have been mostly home unless they need to buy something urgently. I am not optimistic about the numbers when guidelines are eased. The hospital situation continues to be horrendous.