Oh and Doc, the difference being that I am up 42% on the year, even given the btc drawdown. I do not go around looking to justify my biases, I go with what works.
Look at Igy’s recent post logic: “why should I change my mind, when I am proven wrong to ever-increasingly greater degrees?” Do you understand that what he seeks is reinforcement above all else? He will interpret everything as support for his original position, even when doing so does not support his putative objectives.
His real objective is psychological comfort. He’s old, and needs things to be as he believes them to be. His attitudes have served him well over his life and now, in classic fashion, he clings to them. It is a story as old as the hills.
Otoh, I remain flexible. I used to be super-into quantitative analysis, like probably idiot still is. That’s back when I was an engineering numbers-type. I have since realized that investing is a human phenomenon, best addressed by human and not statistical factors—the difference being that “the markets” are subject to control by a few, at least in the short-medium term, and aggregate analysis is subordinate thereto.
I changed 180 degrees, and for the better. How many times have I stated explicitly that, at heart, I am a cantankerous, stodgy old shlt like Igy. I believe everything is bs, I believe everything is overvalued and over-leveraged, I believe inflation is insane, I believe that buybacks are a scam, I believe that story stocks are ridiculous and that Robinhooders and Gamestop are pure moronic bs. If I stuck in the mud like Igy, I would kot be playing with house money in btc, and I would be stuck listening to Haussman and Schiff in a warm tub, with scented candles and my best friend rubber ducky.
But I know better than to act on my beliefs, and act instead on a supervening rational construct. It can be difficult, but it bears fruit.
It will be interesting to see how well this hot wine-inspired post appears in the sober light of day tomorrow. Even when buzzed, I can still have perspective, and will consciously decide to post this possibly questionable contribution. Why? Because as someone recently said to me in Denmark, “you have to live your life”.
He is recently separated after having cheated on his wife, and has been exiled to the summer home. It is an object lesson from a fool. I doubt many of you will appreciate the contradiction.