Ghost of Igloi wrote:
Racket wrote:
It's TINA and the fact that this hasn't really hit people with deep pockets that much yet (emphasis on yet). In 2008 there were simply no buyers left. Everything was garbage and no one had liquidity on hand to even get out from under their trash positions (because they were 30x leveraged on literal sh!t piles) and so everyone wanted out. Right now, there's plenty of willing and capable buyers lining up and I'm not talking about retail investors or millennials with $10 in a Robinhood account. Institutions still have to chase returns and the Fed is determined to be a giant clearing house for liquidity (according to ZeroHedge this is pure evil. According to anyone with a half a brain this is literally the Fed's whole fvcking point of existence). As long as assets can move and credit markets are liquid then all we'll see is rotations out of certain sectors to others.
I am sure many believe that. That view operates under the assumption that there is no end to the ability of central banks to manipulate markets. History says that did not work out well for Japan or the Euro zone. Low interest rates have been disastrous for banks, and if you doubt that look at the domestic banking index, or Euro zone banks. There is cause and effect here; you just choose to ignore it while you cheer the momentary market rise.
But it did work out well for the U.S. markets and it wasn’t just a “momentary market rise.” QE was an unqualified success. I know you will say otherwise, but the evidence says you are wrong.