Shalane Flanagan will run a track 10000m, predict her time

Does the fact that it is an Olympic year make a difference? Will people be upping their game this year?

31:04

My guess is that Olympic year could make a difference in two ways.

1) People might be upping their game.

2) Some will be saving their best performance/peaking for the Olympics.

In 2004, five women went under 30:40... four of those times being set at Athens (the other being set by Paula Radcliffe).

30:40

Shalane reminds me of Paula at times in fact. She seems to like to timetrial all her races rather than just race them. But I wonder if she'll dare time-trial her 10,000m track debut.

Letsrun provided a link that takes you to an article in which her coach thinks 30:30 is within her capabilities and hinted the pace is projected 15:15 for the half (who do they have that is capable of rabbiting that and wouldn't want to actually race)?

Yeah, me. Probably lots of other guys too.

Vipam wrote:

Letsrun provided a link that takes you to an article in which her coach thinks 30:30 is within her capabilities and hinted the pace is projected 15:15 for the half (who do they have that is capable of rabbiting that and wouldn't want to actually race)?

according to this article:

She'll have pacemaking help from Rose Kosgei who is prepared to go through 5000m.

Is Rose quick enough over 5k to pace for a 30:30 10k race?

I'm sort of tempted to revise my prediction in light of the slow times this evening. Mind you - Shalane is the daddy!

30:34

Shalane Flanagan looked smooth the whole race in destroying the Women's 10000m American Record:

Payton Jordan Cardinal Invitational - 5/4/2008

Stanford University --Stanford, California

Last Completed Event

Event 56 Women 10000 Meter Run Kim McDonald

================================================================

D1 Reg: R 35:00.00

D 1 Auto: A 33:30.00

Name Year School Finals

================================================================

Finals

1 Shalane Flanagan Nike 30:34.49A

2 Kim Smith Reebok 30:35.54A

3 Sally Kipyego Texas Tech 31:25.45A

4 Sabrina Mockenhaupt Koeln Marathon 31:27.05A

5 Molly Huddle Saucony 31:27.12A

6 Madai Perez Carrillo Nike 31:30.23A

7 Jennifer Rhines adidas 31:30.31A

8 Xioaqin Dong China 31:31.87A

9 Kate Reed Bristol and West 31:35.77A

10 Dulce Maria Rodriguez adidas 31:39.20A

11 Adriana Fernandez Unattached 32:07.69A

12 Amy Yoder-Begley Nike 32:07.84A

13 Hiromi Ominami Toyota Auto Body 32:17.48A

14 Amy Hastings adidas 32:18.72A

15 Andrea Grove Unattached 32:29.69A

16 Elena Valencia Unattached 32:36.98A

17 Sharon Thompson Unattached 32:49.39A

18 Kathy Newberry Nyac 32:50.97A

-- Adriana Pirtea Boulder-Wave DNF

-- Courtney Babcock Unattached DNF

-- Melissa Cook New Balance DNF

-- Sara Slattery adidas DNF

USADA wrote:

30:30 if she makes it that far without getting caught on the JUICE, DNF if there will be drug testing.

You can´t avoid drug testing by DNF, idiot!

doug burke wrote:

i predidt flananagan 30.35 with goucher in 2nd in 30.39 both under the anerican record.

Looks like db is the winning predictor!

After her outstanding debut in the 10000m and Tirunesh Dibaba murdering the 5000m world record- why would Shalane think of any other event except the 10000m? In the 5000m she would tow the starting line competing for bronze as Tirunesh and Meseret (if both are healthy) are leaps and bounds better than the other women in the 5000m. In the 10000m Tirunesh is almost unbeatable but Shalane could honestly be competing for the silver.