Armstronglivs wrote:
rekrunner wrote:
Some of that information was not revealed to the CAS Panel.
I wonder why her defence team didn't use it. Perhaps because it was too easily refuted.
So let's see it before the Swiss Appeal Court. Oh, wait ...
I guess the chance of her ban being overturned is also "almost zero". For your
information, that doesn't actually mean probable.
I guess you wonder many things.
You make a compelling argument that the CAS Panel was also fooled by a fallacy.
I gave them the benefit of doubt, that they just ruled on whether Houlihan affirmatively
met her burden on the balance of probabilities.
What most people don’t seem to realize is that there are three separate probabilities:
- the low probability of a burrito with edible soy-fed intact boar meat/offal
- given a positive test result, the probability that the burrito was the only possible source of the nandrolone
- the burden of convincing a panel on the balance of probabilities
Even if it went to a real court, every decision is made against the framework of the WADA Code.
The double injustice of the WADA Code arises from guilt being determined without demonstrating
intent, fault, negligence, and knowledge of use, and the athlete having the burden of finding
objective evidence of an event one month in the past, just to reduce the sentence of a guilty ruling.