OSINT confirmations of Ukrainian lines collapsing continue
Ukrainian lines collapsing so hard that Zelenskyy visited Avdiivka today to hand out medals. Do Russians ever resent being ruled by a total coward?
Why is it that after a year of "OMG Ukrainian lines collapsing!!!" the front lines didn't change? People should stop listening to idiot YouTubers or Twitter morons who flog nonsense like that.
Still thinking about the poster known as 12/24/2023. Sad to see him go so soon.
Avdiivka. I visited the positions of the 110th «Marko Bezruchko» Mechanized Brigade. One of the toughest spots of the frontline.
I personally thanked the warriors. We reviewed the defense situation and our troops’ key needs with the commander. I honored the best servicemen with… pic.twitter.com/NRQdoB6tOy
— Volodymyr Zelenskyy / Володимир Зеленський (@ZelenskyyUa) December 29, 2023
Russian invasion forces have been intensifying their offensive operations on several fronts, focusing on the Kupyansk, Lyman, and Bakhmut fronts, Ukrainian Ground Forces Commander Gen. Oleksandr Syrskyi disclosed on Telegram...
This is unbelievably sad. This video is so bad, in so many way, it’s hard to process the levels of depravity unfolding. Even worse than Russians capturing a pregnant Ukraine woman who surrendered on the front lines. How could Ukraine allow this to happen?! To think this person is being made fun of before they die and that they are not capable of knowing they are being made fun of. Sick sick sick Ukraine people… making videos tormenting their own disabled fighters. Imagine being a family member of this disabled person and seeing this video. Hey pro-war Ukrobot nazi rehabilitators: contact your Ukraine trash ASAP and tell your idiots to get this disabled person to safety.
2nd video has translations.
Really heartbreaking. #Ukraine forced #mobilization doesn't spare anyone. This young man clearly intellectually disabled. Not only he was thrown to the front lines but he is being a butt of other #Ukranian soldiers jokes who cruelly mock his #Disability. 🇺🇦 is doomed... pic.twitter.com/NlHueWoHF6
The poster 12/24/2023 would not have dishonestly changed the words I wrote. 12/24/2023 was generous and brave, not a coward like Putin. I miss 12/24/2023 so much. 😢😢 😭😭 😢😢
Activity in Russia's manufacturing sector expanded at its fastest pace in almost seven years in December, a business survey showed on Friday, though new export orders contracted for the second month running.
The possibility of compromise was “very real” in April 2022, a key negotiator from Kiev’s side has said Russian President Vladimir Putin personally sought a peace agreement with Ukraine in April 2022, according to Ambassador...
"What we're saying to the president, and really to the entire world, is you need to articulate what the ambition is; what is $61 billion going to accomplish that $100 billion hasn't?"
Just watched on-the-ground videos by Atlas New’s correspondent and Northern Provision’s correspondent in Dnipro and Lyiv. Multiple shopping malls, hospitals, and apartment buildings far from the front lines hit by Russian cruise missiles, including a maternity hospital. Only 10 dead due to air defenses and air raid sirens. Meanwhile the airbases nearby were untargeted.
Russia is a terrorist state, nothing more.
True words, a criminal state with a thug leader named Pootin.
Just watched on-the-ground videos by Atlas New’s correspondent and Northern Provision’s correspondent in Dnipro and Lyiv. Multiple shopping malls, hospitals, and apartment buildings far from the front lines hit by Russian cruise missiles, including a maternity hospital. Only 10 dead due to air defenses and air raid sirens. Meanwhile the airbases nearby were untargeted.
Russia is a terrorist state, nothing more.
True words, a criminal state with a thug leader named Pootin.
Ukraine has lost the war it started in Nov. 2013 = Karma
Washington Post ran an article today about Russian information operations in France, the themes of which are familiar to anyone following this thread:
The Washington Post reported on December 30 that it obtained Kremlin documents from an unspecified European security service that show that Russian Presidential Administration First Deputy Head Sergei Kiriyenko oversees Kremlin operations to undermine support for Ukraine and NATO in the French information space and through French politicians and activists. The Kremlin documents reportedly listed specific narratives that the Kremlin sought to promote in France including arguments that Western sanctions against Russia have harmed the French economy, that the provision of French weapons supplies to Ukraine has degraded France’s ability to defend itself, that continuous support for Ukraine would lead to World War III, and that France should not fund a foreign war. The Kremlin documents also reportedly show that Kremlin political strategists instructed a Russian troll farm employee to write a “200-character comment by a middle-aged French person” arguing that European support for Ukraine is a “stupid adventure” and that continued support for Ukraine is increasing inflation and lowering living standards.
The Washington Post also reported that a six-month French government inquiry found that “Russia is conducting a long-term disinformation campaign in [France] to defend and promote Russian interests and to polarize [French] democratic society.
Russia has been increasing its efforts to undermine French support for Kyiv, according to Kremlin documents and interviews with European security officials
1) Return Crimea and Donbass to Russia. They were transferred to the Ukraine in the first place for strictly administrative purposes.
2) The Ukraine pledges strict neutrality (no NATO membership)
3) The Ukraine can join the EU (Putin's concession)
4) An immediate halt of all U.S. military aid to the Ukraine. Use the saved money to pay off the national debt.
This isn't crazy as a starting point for discussion, but a few comments for clarification.
1) "Return Crimea and Donbass to Russia." -
a) This seems to imply that Ukraine would vacate those portions of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts that they currently control.
b) This seems to imply that Russia would return those portions of Kherson and Zaporizhzhia that they currently control.
2) "The Ukraine pledges strict neutrality (no NATO membership)" - What tangible assurances against future incursions would Ukraine receive (and agree to) if not a path to NATO membership or a protection agreement ala Israel?
3) "The Ukraine can join the EU (Putin's concession)". So Ukraine gets to do the sort of alliances and associations sovereign states do as a matter of course as they aren't military alliances?
4) "An immediate halt of all U.S. military aid to the Ukraine. Use the saved money to pay off the national debt." This is essentially the same statement as #2 rephrased to appeal to American isolationists' tendencies.
A land swap as per your #1, interpreted as Russia gets Donbass and Crimea and Ukraine gets Kherson and Zaporizhzhia isn't out of the realm of reasonableness. I think Russia giving up the latter two might be the bigger sticking point than the implied Ukrainian concessions.
Ukraine accepting an agreement which doesn't include tangible military agreements with the west seems like an obvious non-starter unless Ukraine is completely defeated which only happens if the west allows it. At that point there's no reason for Russia to settle for parts of Ukraine. Strategically it would be a long term problem for the west to allow Ukraine to fall.
Posting in memory of 12/24/2023, who left us far too soon. 🫡🫡🫡
Prediction from "Ukraine has gotten smaller" from 6 weeks ago: "Avdiivka is ready to collapse inward on itself!!!"
Reality: Killing Russians By The Truckload Around Avdiivka, Ukraine’s M-2 Fighting Vehicles Are Showing How Russia Loses—And Ukraine Wins
In that context, the battle for Avdiivka has been a disaster for Russia. It’s exactly the kind of fight the Kremlin can’t afford if its goal is to grind away Ukraine’s military strength. Around Avdiivka, it’s the Russians who are getting ground down.
When the tanks and fighting vehicles ran afoul of Ukrainian mines, drones and artillery, Russian commanders pulled back their remaining vehicles—and sent in the infantry, on foot. When the infantry got massacred, the Russians deployed more explosives-laden drones in an effort to sever Ukrainian forces’ supply lines.
That didn’t work, either. Yesterday, Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelensky himself safely traveled to Avdiivka—and shot a selfie within view of the front line.
Extreme losses—at least 315,000 killed or severely wounded in 22 months—have contributed to what the RAND Corporation, a California think-tank, described as a “ticking social time-bomb” in Russia, a country with just 143 million people.
Russia is counting on staying in the war for the long term. That’s its whole plan for victory. A plan a few battalions of Ukrainian vehicles have exposed as a farce.
Posting in memory of 12/24/2023, who left us far too soon. 🫡🫡🫡
Prediction from "Ukraine has gotten smaller" from 6 weeks ago: "Avdiivka is ready to collapse inward on itself!!!"
Reality: Killing Russians By The Truckload Around Avdiivka, Ukraine’s M-2 Fighting Vehicles Are Showing How Russia Loses—And Ukraine Wins
In that context, the battle for Avdiivka has been a disaster for Russia. It’s exactly the kind of fight the Kremlin can’t afford if its goal is to grind away Ukraine’s military strength. Around Avdiivka, it’s the Russians who are getting ground down.
When the tanks and fighting vehicles ran afoul of Ukrainian mines, drones and artillery, Russian commanders pulled back their remaining vehicles—and sent in the infantry, on foot. When the infantry got massacred, the Russians deployed more explosives-laden drones in an effort to sever Ukrainian forces’ supply lines.
That didn’t work, either. Yesterday, Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelensky himself safely traveled to Avdiivka—and shot a selfie within view of the front line.
Extreme losses—at least 315,000 killed or severely wounded in 22 months—have contributed to what the RAND Corporation, a California think-tank, described as a “ticking social time-bomb” in Russia, a country with just 143 million people.
1) Return Crimea and Donbass to Russia. They were transferred to the Ukraine in the first place for strictly administrative purposes.
2) The Ukraine pledges strict neutrality (no NATO membership)
3) The Ukraine can join the EU (Putin's concession)
4) An immediate halt of all U.S. military aid to the Ukraine. Use the saved money to pay off the national debt.
1) Yes. Crimea voted twice to join Russia. It was the second vote, after energy supplies were shut off, that Putin accepted.
2) Yes. This was the acknowledged agreement by all sides when the USSR ended. You could also argue for the other countries that joined NATO after 1990 to also leave NATO, per the agreements.
3) Yes. They would have voted to oust Yanukovych anyway, as the Maidan had huge EU momentum as a PEACEFUL REVOLUTION to do so already. Ukraine's neonazis ruined the peace before that was possible.
4) Yes. And an immediate closure of all military bases abroad. Why stop at benefiting America with just this war? World peace would be very happy too.
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