Trinity got 3rd but teams 3-7 were within 40pts of each other and their 6th runner was 159th. I don't see Norte (obviously), Moorhead, or Anderson improving much on last year. If their freshman replaces Gravel, they are basically the same as last year. Amherst, MIT, and Brandeis should be at least that good.
I agree that Keene St. could surprise. They've been consistently good for so long it's hard to see them being down for more than a year or two.