• uptown
      • Official 2014 IAAF Shanghai Diamong League Discussion Thread 5/18/2014 12:22AM
      • uptown

      • Update at 1 am Sunday ET: This thread started out as the Jenny Simpson Prediction Thread but we've changed its title to the Official 2014 Shanghai DL Discussion Thread as the meet starts in about 7 hours and wanted to have something up as we're going to sleep. Meet schedule can be found here.... TV info here.



        Jenny's got her handsfull in Shanghai on Sunday taking on Aregawi.

        Jenny should get second. If Argawi runs 3:56, I'm have no idea what the others will do. Jenny isn't in 3:56 shape.

        Moser and Uceny also in the field.

        Prediction:
        1) Aregawi 3:56
        2) Simpson 3:59
        Moser 4:04
        Uceny 4:06
    • 654f
      • RE: Jenny Simpson Shanghai Prediction Thread 5/16/2014 5:25PM - in reply to uptown
      • 654f
      • my prediction: she will be hot
    • wejo
      co-founder
      • RE: Jenny Simpson Shanghai Prediction Thread 5/16/2014 5:58PM - in reply to uptown
      • wejo
        co-founder
      • Hard to believe Jenny's only sub 4:00 was the 3:59.90 she ran at Pre in 2009 while in college.

        Breaking 4 clearly isn't easy. Can she do it in her first big race of the year?

        No one expected the sub 4 with Wetmore while in college and now she's back with Wetmore so it's possible this early in the year.

        Interesting thing I noticed. All-athletics.com says Jenny's best mark ever is her 9:12.50 steeple from 2009 Worlds. Her next best is her 1500 from 2009 so on an absolute level 2009 had her 2 best performances. I don't that will be the case after this year. 3:59.9 won't cut it anymore in the women' 1500 so by the end of the year I think Jenny will be much faster.
    • 1902
      • RE: Jenny Simpson Shanghai Prediction Thread 5/17/2014 12:41AM - in reply to uptown
      • 1902
      • She's gonna go fast this year, because Aregawi is going to pull her.

        Kibiwot is in that race too and is coming off that blazing fast Doha 3K

        I don't know what kind of shape Abeba is in right now, but I expect something special from her this year.

        I don't see any reason why Jenny can't PR this season.
    • 1902
      • RE: Jenny Simpson Shanghai Prediction Thread 5/17/2014 12:56AM - in reply to uptown
      • 1902
      • I have a hunch we're gonna see some really wild stuff in the 1500 and 3 this year from the women. The reason I say is because of that Doha 3. I believe Genzebe set the bar with her indoor assault, everyone went wild in training knowing they had to make up ground, and they did in Doha. And I think it wil get faster.

        Just think of what Abeba is going to do if Obiri raised her level in such a way
    • coach d
      • RE: Jenny Simpson Shanghai Prediction Thread 5/17/2014 1:06AM - in reply to wejo
      • coach d
      • The 5000 she ran last year was 9 seconds faster than what she ran in 2009 when she ran 3:59.9. Theoretically, that is worth 3:56-3:57 if you can combine the improved endurance with the speed she showed in 2009--and combining those is Wetmore's challenge.
    • Fixed it 4 ya
      • RE: Jenny Simpson Shanghai Prediction Thread 5/17/2014 1:11AM - in reply to 1902
      • Fixed it 4 ya
      • 1902 wrote:
        I have a hunch we're gonna see some really wild stuff in the 1500 and 3 this year from the women. The reason I say is because of that Doha 3. I believe Genzebe set the bar with her indoor assault, everyone went wild in *doping* knowing they had to make up ground, and they did in Doha. And I think it wil get faster.

        Just think of what Abeba is going to do if Obiri raised her level in such a way
        Fixed
    • reed
      • RE: Jenny Simpson Shanghai Prediction Thread 5/17/2014 3:14AM - in reply to coach d
      • reed
      • coach d wrote:
        The 5000 she ran last year was 9 seconds faster than what she ran in 2009 when she ran 3:59.9. Theoretically, that is worth 3:56-3:57 if you can combine the improved endurance with the speed she showed in 2009--and combining those is Wetmore's challenge.
        an improvement in her 5000m PR only means she can run 5000m faster. it doesn't mean she can run faster at 1500m.

        however, you still might be right. you're logic just wasn't.

        personally i think she could run 3:58-3:59 in shanghai with good conditions, decent pacing, and 1 or 2 ladies to run with.

        if they go out in 63-66 they're still close enough. the third lap just can't slack once pacers drop out, assuming they even run to 800m.
    • Bad Wigins
      • RE: Jenny Simpson Shanghai Prediction Thread 5/17/2014 3:52AM - in reply to 1902
      • Bad Wigins
      • 1902 wrote:
        Genzebe set the bar with her indoor assault, everyone went wild in training knowing they had to make up ground
        Sure. None of them had any motivation to break their PR's by 9+ seconds each before they saw Dibaba do it.

        Track fans have got blinders on. Too many runners just got too much faster all at once for it to be a natural occurrence.

        There will surely be more crazy times, including possibly a world record in the men's 5000 if they run for time instead of Kenya vs Ethiopia.
    • jungleroy59
      • RE: Jenny Simpson Shanghai Prediction Thread 5/17/2014 9:54AM - in reply to wejo
      • jungleroy59
      • She had a nice 4:00.4 last summer where she led almost wire to wire. And has very good tactics, a powerful last 150m, good extended kick
    • jjjjjjjjj
      • RE: Jenny Simpson Shanghai Prediction Thread 5/17/2014 9:58AM - in reply to jungleroy59
      • jjjjjjjjj
      • She's got an excellent shot at breaking four here if she does not have to lead much of the way, as happened at world's.
    • MathBuff
      • RE: Jenny Simpson Shanghai Prediction Thread 5/17/2014 9:58AM - in reply to reed
      • MathBuff
      • reed wrote:
        coach d wrote:
        The 5000 she ran last year was 9 seconds faster than what she ran in 2009 when she ran 3:59.9. Theoretically, that is worth 3:56-3:57 if you can combine the improved endurance with the speed she showed in 2009--and combining those is Wetmore's challenge.
        an improvement in her 5000m PR only means she can run 5000m faster. it doesn't mean she can run faster at 1500m.

        however, you still might be right. you're logic just wasn't.

        personally i think she could run 3:58-3:59 in shanghai with good conditions, decent pacing, and 1 or 2 ladies to run with.

        if they go out in 63-66 they're still close enough. the third lap just can't slack once pacers drop out, assuming they even run to 800m.
        No, his logic was fine. You just didn't understand it.
    • john cameron swayze
      • RE: Jenny Simpson Shanghai Prediction Thread 5/17/2014 10:55AM - in reply to MathBuff
      • john cameron swayze
      • think it will be saturday to sunday's midnight in EDT when the meet starts. so 12 hours from now right?
    • DedicatedRunner
      • RE: Jenny Simpson Shanghai Prediction Thread 5/17/2014 11:45AM - in reply to uptown
      • DedicatedRunner
      • Aregawi is not a front-runner. She will run on should of the lead runner. Simpson also will not lead but as always she positions herself well towards the front.

        If the pace is to be fast it will have to come from someone else in the field.

        Aregawi: 4:01
        Simpson: 4:02

        Later in the season, when there are other girls who are in shape to run fast times and can set the pace, we will see Aregawi under 4 and perhaps Simpson as well.