I'm surprised by this. Abby D. is a 15:11 gal, even if she improves a good bit, might be in 15:00 shape.
BMart, as you said, went out at 14:45 pace for first mile+ on a windy day at a road 5k and still ran 15:24. I really think that is good for at least 15:10 on the track with more even pacing.
There is also the fact that it was her season opener. That guarantees nothing, but it is common to improve of that, and as such I do feel there is a very legitimate chance BMart could come in here in sub 15 shape.
The other concern for D'Agostino is that she absolutely has to run away from BMart to not get out-kicked, and I really have a hard time seeing this.[/quote]
Yea I feel like they will be neck and neck but I'm just giving the edge to abby because she is a 5k runner. I think people are expecting too much too soon from Brenda in the 5k. I think she will tear it up in mid distance this yr.