OK, you said I lied repeatedly.
Prove one lie.
You can’t.
Who is the ass?
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
OK, you said I lied repeatedly.
Prove one lie.
You can’t.
Who is the ass?
your turn wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
OK, you said I lied repeatedly.
Prove one lie.
You can’t.
Who is the ass?
Are you completely retarded? Your lies were exposed by both agip and myself in the last two days. Everyone knows it. Your obstinant denial is laughable. You are the ass.
your turn wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
OK, you said I lied repeatedly.
Prove one lie.
You can’t.
Who is the ass?
Are you completely retarded? Your lies were exposed by both agip and myself in the last two days. Everyone knows it. Your obstinant denial is laughable. You are the ass.
your turn wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
Huh? The only one lying or delusional is you. Perhaps you are just stupid? Heck I am not a psychiatrist.
You have repeatedly lied and been exposed for your serial dishonesty. Everyone reading this thread has seen the irrefutable evidence. Yet you continue your ill-advised charade. And you wonder why people don’t like you.
Maserati wrote:
The idiot wrote:
Racket wrote:
Maserati wrote:
Is anyone here buying right now, and if so, what?
I'm sort of buying Apple. Started selling puts on it for strikes around 120-125. Don't care if I get assigned because I'll take it and collect premiums in the mean time. They have so much cash that they can just buy Netflix outright if they wanted.
Might also buy oil. Russia and Saudi Arabia won't let it stay low for much longer
I’m sitting on the sidelines waiting for the storm to pass. All (nearly) out since a couple of weeks ago. Mind you I’m not a trader, per se, so I suppose you weren’t asking me. That said, best case scenario for me personally is markets continue a long downward plunge.
Yes, I was asking you. I am not trading anymore, just some sporadic things based on just a few ideas. Like you, I would benefit from a "long downward plunge". I have never been a buy-and-hold investor, and I find it interesting and a bit scary. Is AAPL now worth the price? IDK. What about other stocks that may have overshot to the downside? I have long known how published numbers like the GDP, inflation and unemployment, and published regulations like Basel are manipulated for consumption, but now it seems that even that isn't doing the trick. Makes me nervous. I have diversified currencies and jurisdictions, and passports. Swift mobility might be needed in the future, who knows. I personally have a great deal of uncertainty about future directions. When I consider facts like the retard Waters being in charge of the Financial Services Committee, and the bozo Trump complaining about the Fed chair, and what I have known about DB for years, etc. it makes for nervousness about the future.
And it is that nervousness that is keeping me from buying anything, even if I think it looks good at current prices. I have no set plan for the future as far as the markets go. Strange days.
Muncha wrote:
your turn wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
Huh? The only one lying or delusional is you. Perhaps you are just stupid? Heck I am not a psychiatrist.
You have repeatedly lied and been exposed for your serial dishonesty. Everyone reading this thread has seen the irrefutable evidence. Yet you continue your ill-advised charade. And you wonder why people don’t like you.
Serial dishonesty? Ill advised charade?
What kind of ahole uses the English language so poorly?
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
Racket wrote:
Well there's a thread on Letsrun asking about a bear market. If that's not a buy signal I don't know what is.
How many buy signals have you had lately that turned into sell signals?
agip wrote:
Isn't the problem that China told its people not to buy Apple phones, but instead buy Chinese phones? This happened before when China was in a spat with Japan - the chinese people stopped buying japanese cars en masse.
Apple has a problem of large numbers and it's just a gadget maker, subject to getting beat by a better mousetrap. It hasn't been a market leader for years. Not a huge deal
I think the trade wars are over 50% of this. Markets and business depend on consistency. if trump can decide overnight that your raw materials will be 25% higher, or that your service will be banned from China...it sort of puts a chill on your future plans. Which is how recessions start.
Trump is a f'in moran and the business world is figuring that out.
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
Oh, I forgot to mention, you don’t even have enough integrity to use a consistent registered handle. How many handles have you used over the past month? Talk about a lying piece of crap.
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
What’s with the agip deal? Is he your crutch? Let him speak for himself if I lied. He won’t because I have never lied.
agip wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
agip,
EPS has peaked this cycle. Fed in a box. Global economy in decline.
Igy
EPS *growth* has peaked in this cycle, but not EPS.
Global economy is not in decline - it is growing, albeit slower.
agip wrote:
Thus spake agithrustra.
Because so much of my money and my clients' money is in bonds I've been watching the bond market very closely.
Absolute panic stampede riot last few days into buying US treasuries. I was right to dump them - they fell back down in price today. Bond buyers are typically more mild than stock buyers...for them to stampede like that, making treasury prices go parabolic...that's a remarkable amount of panic.
Could be a climax of fear, is what I'm saying.
Today, very notably, high yield bonds are soaring in price - they've been quiet even during the stock rallies we've had.
and treasuries are falling hard.
both suggest comfort with risk that we haven't seen for a while.
maybe this jobs figure will calm the markets, along with a solution to the trade wars.
again, bond buyers are less passionate than stock...for high yield to get this big push is pretty bullish for stocks, I think.
here's the thing. Why in the world is the ultra short fed funds rate higher or about the same as the 3,5,7, year treasury rate? The market has voted with its feet that the economy is slowing and inflation is a non-factor. Sure the market could be wrong. But it doesn't make much sense for an overnight rate to be higher than a 5 year rate decided by the free market.
Racket wrote:
agip wrote:
Thus spake agithrustra.
Because so much of my money and my clients' money is in bonds I've been watching the bond market very closely.
Absolute panic stampede riot last few days into buying US treasuries. I was right to dump them - they fell back down in price today. Bond buyers are typically more mild than stock buyers...for them to stampede like that, making treasury prices go parabolic...that's a remarkable amount of panic.
Could be a climax of fear, is what I'm saying.
Today, very notably, high yield bonds are soaring in price - they've been quiet even during the stock rallies we've had.
and treasuries are falling hard.
both suggest comfort with risk that we haven't seen for a while.
maybe this jobs figure will calm the markets, along with a solution to the trade wars.
again, bond buyers are less passionate than stock...for high yield to get this big push is pretty bullish for stocks, I think.
Not convinced until the market starts pricing in Fed rate hikes for 2019. Still holding at zero rate hikes per Fed funds futures which is just dumb. Wages beat expectations which is exactly what set off a huge dump last February. Bond traders are being forced into stampede buy/sell mode to make room and provide money for all the fund re-balancing going, that's my take on it.
Source : I know a bond trader at Vanguard and he told me so
Racket wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
Racket wrote:
Well there's a thread on Letsrun asking about a bear market. If that's not a buy signal I don't know what is.
How many buy signals have you had lately that turned into sell signals?
I don't know, probably 100 per day? I'm an options and futures day trader, we blow with the wind on the 1 second charts. Green candle shows up -> next stop Dow 30k. Red candle shows up -> short everything in sight, we're all doomed.
The cool thing about options and futures is that you can make money quickly in either direction and so we wish the best for everyone whether they're long or short! We're all just trying to make money here
Muncha wrote:
your turn wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
Huh? The only one lying or delusional is you. Perhaps you are just stupid? Heck I am not a psychiatrist.
You have repeatedly lied and been exposed for your serial dishonesty. Everyone reading this thread has seen the irrefutable evidence. Yet you continue your ill-advised charade. And you wonder why people don’t like you.
Serial dishonesty? Ill advised charade?
What kind of ahole uses the English language so poorly?
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
Racket wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
Racket wrote:
Well there's a thread on Letsrun asking about a bear market. If that's not a buy signal I don't know what is.
How many buy signals have you had lately that turned into sell signals?
I don't know, probably 100 per day? I'm an options and futures day trader, we blow with the wind on the 1 second charts. Green candle shows up -> next stop Dow 30k. Red candle shows up -> short everything in sight, we're all doomed.
The cool thing about options and futures is that you can make money quickly in either direction and so we wish the best for everyone whether they're long or short! We're all just trying to make money here
I would think with you being an intelligent person that you must understand that large numbers of people are doing exactly the same thing. Such herding behavior is bound to have severe downside showing how foolish this is.
agip wrote:
here's the thing. Why in the world is the ultra short fed funds rate higher or about the same as the 3,5,7, year treasury rate? The market has voted with its feet that the economy is slowing and inflation is a non-factor. Sure the market could be wrong. But it doesn't make much sense for an overnight rate to be higher than a 5 year rate decided by the free market.
for the fed to blithely ignore what trillions of dollars is saying and keep raising its rate...that would be major chutzpah. That's why the odds of further rate hikes are so against it happening. The market driven rates are saying the Fed is being too aggressive here.