• Mr. Sort of Obvious
      • Who Will Lead The USATF 10,000? 6/20/2011 7:37PM
      • Mr. Sort of Obvious
      • Who is going to take this race by the balls? I mean, who will lead most of this race, or at least force a fast pace, if anybody?
    • hopholian
      • RE: Who Will Lead The USATF 10,000? 6/20/2011 8:11PM - in reply to Mr. Sort of Obvious
      • hopholian
      • Rupp will take it out at 13:40 in the first 5000, then will drop the hammer with a 13:21 second half. Wins by 200 meters. Leads wire to wire like Rory McIlroy. All assuming the weather and pollen levels are acceptable to AlSal, of course.
    • Phenom Man
    • Fighting Miss Daisy
    • ryan foreman
      • RE: Who Will Lead The USATF 10,000? 6/20/2011 11:41PM - in reply to Mr. Sort of Obvious
      • ryan foreman
      • Puskedra.


        But seriously. I think its going to be a painfully slow race unless there are pacers. I say that Rupp and Solinsky will make sure its not above 28.30 pace but otherwise they are not going to be interested in pushing the pace too much until around the last mile.

        Its not so much that I think it will be deliberately slow but that there will be stretches of awkwardness where nobody will want to take the lead.

        But who knows. Somebody may emerge that is in fantastic shape and try to take control of the race. That is the great thing about racing.
    • long drive from Portland
      • RE: Who Will Lead The USATF 10,000? 6/21/2011 12:18AM - in reply to ryan foreman
      • long drive from Portland
      • Braun early then Nelson pick it up at 3 miles Solinsky is hurting but trys to move with 900 meters but Rupp pulls away at 150 to go and wins
        Rupp in 27:56
        Nelson 27:59
        Braun 28:01
        Solinsky 28:04 oooooh my hammy.. this must be some ploy
    • gegesger
      • RE: Who Will Lead The USATF 10,000? 6/21/2011 12:36AM - in reply to long drive from Portland
      • gegesger
      • Pretty sure Tim Nelson has never beaten Chris Solinsky in a race (2006 NCAA XC doesn't count), so I'd say it's unlikely to happen this week. It's also unlikely that Solinsky even runs the 10K.
    • I dunno squat
    • runn
      • RE: Who Will Lead The USATF 10,000? 6/21/2011 11:21AM - in reply to Phenom Man
      • runn
      • During a painfully slow Olympic 1500 final some years ago the TV announcer said that this tactic wasn't good for everyone in the race and someone should make a move.
        Same thing here- someone who will not benefit from a 28+ pace should make a move early but they prolly won't.
    • el curioso
      • RE: Who Will Lead The USATF 10,000? 6/21/2011 12:13PM - in reply to runn
      • el curioso
      • Is it correct that neither Rupp nor Solinsky have the IAAF A standard, whereas a whole bunch of guys who ran Payton Jordan do?
    • bmi overweight
      • RE: Who Will Lead The USATF 10,000? 6/21/2011 12:33PM - in reply to mr myth
      • bmi overweight
      • If Rupp and Sol think that they have the best speed, which they most likely do, then they'll be happy to let the race go by at a slow pace. This will make for a boring race but could potentially make the world champs much more interesting.
    • douglas burke
      • RE: Who Will Lead The USATF 10,000? 6/21/2011 12:41PM - in reply to bmi overweight
      • douglas burke
      • a lot of runners will work together to make sure they get the A standard for worlds 27:40, and next years olympic standard 27:45 rupp and solinsky have the worlds standard, but because of the time frame dont have the olympic A standard yet, so i am sure they will do that. look for 5-7 runners under 27:40 on thursday.
    • running wild
      • RE: Who Will Lead The USATF 10,000? 6/21/2011 12:45PM - in reply to bmi overweight
      • running wild
      • Nelson, Teg, Solinsky, Rupp, Curtis all have the A-standard (LAST Payton Jordan counts for 10k only). Those five are only ones with chance to make Worlds unless someone else finishes in the top 3 and runs 27:45 because there are no qualifying races between USATFs and Worlds. So anyone wanting to go better run A-standard pace to give themselves a chance.

        The other distance races will allow for those in the top 4 at USA's to "chase" up until August 8th.
    • el curioso
      • RE: Who Will Lead The USATF 10,000? 6/21/2011 1:57PM - in reply to running wild
      • el curioso
      • Ah, the fine print...time window is > Jan.1, 2010 for the 10,000m. Thanks.

        If Teg and Solinsky run the 5k instead (likely) this is going to be a boring race.