Some interesting quotes from David Epstein (bestselling author of The Sports Gene) who says "right now it seems really unlikely." Also an over-optimistic quote from Stephen Kiprotich who thinks someone will definitely run 2:02 before Rio 2016. Did doesn't he remember London last year when the best in the World went out at 2:03:08 pace and died?
*LRC The Myth Of The Sub-2-Hour Marathon
A paperback version is coming out in April with a new chapter and the book has been translated into Russian, Slovak, Portuguese and Japanese (so far).
"But if genetics do play a large role, then should those without an optimal genetic blue print just accept that they will never become champions? ...Throwers should not be so quick to reach that conclusion. Throwing is a niche sport, meaning that the number of participants is quite small. The number who invest substantial time in it is even lower; just think of how many give up the sport at an early age before they reach their potential. This means that genetics play much less of a role and the effort you invest means more."
Every wonder how guys or gals on a cross-country/track team can "run next to one another, stride for stride, day after day, and nonetheless turn out" entirely differently in terms of results? David Epstein has and he explains how it happens in this New York Times best seller.