2015 Unofficial Men’s NCAA Cross-Country Team Qualifiers

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by LetsRun.com
November 13, 2015

The 2015 NCAA men’s cross-country regionals just completed and we have crunched the at-large scenarios using the computer program of former Duke runner and now Olympic Trials qualifier (and Harvard Ph.D. candidate) Bo Waggoner.

Unofficially, here are your 31 teams for NCAAs in Louisville, Kentucky with the logic below. If you see any errors, please email us [email protected]

The first 18 teams are the automatic qualifiers. Discuss this development on our message board: Official 2015 NCAA XC Regional Live Discussion Thread.

Flotrack has a different list of teams and it all boils down to who gets in at #27 – Washington State or Southern Utah. Both sites have both of those teams in the field but the order matters. We currently have Boise State, Cal and UCLA in the field whereas flotrack has them out but Air Force, Colorado State and Cornell in instead of those three.

6:40 pm update: Flotrack had updated their teams to match ours below.

Teams selected:

   1 michigan
   2 michigan state
   3 georgetown
   4 penn
   5 oklahoma state
   6 minnesota
   7 colorado
   8 utep
   9 syracuse
  10 iona
  11 florida state
  12 mississippi
  13 arkansas
  14 texas
  15 louisville
  16 virginia
  17 washington
  18 stanford
  19 byu
  20 oregon
  21 eastern kentucky
  22 furman
  23 nc state
  24 oklahoma
  25 tulsa
  26 virginia tech
  27 washington state
  28 boise state
  29 california
  30 ucla
  31 southern utah


Automatically selected:
1: michigan is selected, has losses to (wisconsin_invite) byu; 
2: michigan state is selected, has losses to (big10s) illinois, indiana; (wisconsin_invite) byu, furman, nc state, tulsa, ucla, columbia, boise state; 
3: georgetown is selected, has losses to (prenats) oregon; 
4: penn is selected, has losses to (notre_dame_invite) nc state, colorado state, southern utah, purdue, eastern michigan, texas a&m, navy, new mexico, notre dame; (heps) columbia; 
5: oklahoma state is selected, has no losses to teams remaining
6: minnesota is selected, has losses to (big10s) illinois; (prenats) oregon, virginia tech, california, air force, colorado state, uc santa barbara, southern utah, washington state, cornell, eastern michigan, duke, san francisco, yale, purdue, ohio state, cal poly, akron; (roy_griak) southern utah, california, colorado state; 
7: colorado is selected, has no losses to teams remaining
8: utep is selected, has losses to (prenats) oregon; 
9: syracuse is selected, has no losses to teams remaining
10: iona is selected, has losses to (wisconsin_invite) byu; 
11: florida state is selected, has losses to (wisconsin_invite) byu, furman, nc state, tulsa, ucla, columbia, boise state, eastern kentucky, providence, indiana, wisconsin; (accs) nc state, virginia tech, notre dame; (battle_in_beantown) dartmouth, purdue, cornell, georgia, harvard; 
12: mississippi is selected, has losses to (wisconsin_invite) byu, furman, nc state, tulsa, ucla, columbia, boise state, eastern kentucky, providence, indiana, wisconsin, portland, illinois, oklahoma, new mexico; (sec) texas a&m; 
13: arkansas is selected, has losses to (prenats) oregon; 
14: texas is selected, has losses to (big12s) oklahoma; (prenats) oregon, virginia tech, california, air force, colorado state, uc santa barbara, southern utah, washington state, cornell, eastern michigan; 
15: louisville is selected, has losses to (prenats) oregon, virginia tech, california, air force, colorado state, uc santa barbara; (accs) nc state, virginia tech; 
16: virginia is selected, has losses to (wisconsin_invite) byu; (accs) nc state; 
17: washington is selected, has losses to (wisconsin_invite) byu, furman, nc state, tulsa, ucla, columbia, boise state; (pac12s) oregon; (washington_invite) oregon, stanford_B_team, byu, ucla, air force; 
18: stanford is selected, has losses to (wisconsin_invite) byu, furman, nc state, tulsa, ucla, columbia, boise state, eastern kentucky, providence, indiana, wisconsin, portland, illinois; 

Teams under consideration: byu (9), oregon (8), furman (5), tulsa (5), southern utah (4), cornell (3), eastern kentucky (3), eastern michigan (3), texas a&m (2), washington state (2), notre dame (2), oklahoma (2), dartmouth (1), georgia (1), lamar (0), villanova (0), princeton (0), florida (0), 
Others with points: nc state (9), ucla (6), columbia (6), boise state (5), colorado state (5), virginia tech (5), air force (4), california (4), indiana (4), illinois (4), uc santa barbara (3), purdue (3), providence (3), wisconsin (3), portland (2), new mexico (2), akron (1), yale (1), san francisco (1), navy (1), harvard (1), stanford_B_team (1), duke (1), cal poly (1), ohio state (1), 
19: byu is selected, has losses to (washington_invite) oregon, stanford_B_team; 

Teams under consideration: oregon (9), furman (5), tulsa (5), southern utah (4), air force (4), cornell (3), eastern kentucky (3), eastern michigan (3), texas a&m (2), washington state (2), notre dame (2), oklahoma (2), dartmouth (1), georgia (1), lamar (0), villanova (0), princeton (0), florida (0), 
Others with points: nc state (9), ucla (6), columbia (6), virginia tech (5), colorado state (5), boise state (5), california (4), indiana (4), illinois (4), uc santa barbara (3), purdue (3), providence (3), wisconsin (3), portland (2), new mexico (2), stanford_B_team (2), akron (1), yale (1), navy (1), harvard (1), duke (1), san francisco (1), ohio state (1), cal poly (1), 
20: oregon is selected, has no losses to teams remaining

Teams under consideration: boise state (5), furman (5), tulsa (5), southern utah (4), air force (4), cornell (3), eastern kentucky (3), eastern michigan (3), texas a&m (2), washington state (2), notre dame (2), oklahoma (2), dartmouth (1), georgia (1), lamar (0), villanova (0), princeton (0), florida (0), 
Others with points: nc state (9), ucla (6), columbia (6), colorado state (5), virginia tech (5), california (4), indiana (4), illinois (4), uc santa barbara (3), purdue (3), providence (3), wisconsin (3), portland (2), new mexico (2), stanford_B_team (2), akron (1), yale (1), san francisco (1), navy (1), harvard (1), duke (1), cal poly (1), ohio state (1), 
  furman wins head-to-head tiebreaker over boise state (relevant meets: wisconsin_invite)
  tulsa wins head-to-head tiebreaker over boise state (relevant meets: wisconsin_invite)
  furman wins head-to-head tiebreaker over tulsa (relevant meets: wisconsin_invite)
21: eastern kentucky is selected, gives no points (pushed in)
22: furman is selected, has losses to (panorama_farms) oklahoma; 

Teams under consideration: nc state (9), boise state (5), virginia tech (5), tulsa (5), southern utah (4), air force (4), cornell (3), eastern michigan (3), oklahoma (3), texas a&m (2), washington state (2), notre dame (2), dartmouth (1), georgia (1), lamar (0), villanova (0), princeton (0), florida (0), 
Others with points: ucla (6), columbia (6), colorado state (5), california (4), indiana (4), illinois (4), uc santa barbara (3), purdue (3), providence (3), wisconsin (3), portland (2), new mexico (2), stanford_B_team (2), akron (1), yale (1), san francisco (1), navy (1), harvard (1), duke (1), cal poly (1), ohio state (1), 
23: nc state is selected, has no losses to teams remaining

Teams under consideration: boise state (5), virginia tech (5), tulsa (5), southern utah (4), air force (4), cornell (3), eastern michigan (3), oklahoma (3), texas a&m (2), washington state (2), notre dame (2), dartmouth (1), georgia (1), lamar (0), north carolina (0), villanova (0), princeton (0), florida (0), 
Others with points: ucla (6), columbia (6), colorado state (5), california (4), indiana (4), illinois (4), uc santa barbara (3), purdue (3), providence (3), wisconsin (3), portland (2), new mexico (2), stanford_B_team (2), akron (1), yale (1), navy (1), harvard (1), duke (1), san francisco (1), ohio state (1), cal poly (1), 
  no head-to-head tiebreaker for boise state and virginia tech (relevant meets: )
  tulsa wins head-to-head tiebreaker over boise state (relevant meets: wisconsin_invite)
  no head-to-head tiebreaker for virginia tech and tulsa (relevant meets: )
  tulsa wins common opponents over virginia tech (common opponents: duke, duquesne, colorado, houston, air force, northern arizona, uc santa barbara, minnesota, utep, iona, wisconsin, arizona state, southern utah, washington state, portland, iowa state, boise state, mississippi, baylor, cornell, oklahoma, byu, colorado state, louisville, north carolina, illinois, georgia tech, providence, eastern michigan, princeton, arkansas, ucla, michigan state, ohio state, indiana, texas tech, san francisco, temple, cal poly, georgetown, lamar, wake forest, columbia, monmouth, pittsburgh, washington, michigan, virginia, oregon, florida state, connecticut, furman, california, new mexico, eastern kentucky, dartmouth, akron, notre dame, syracuse, william and mary, boston college, purdue, miami, stanford, wichita state, harvard, south dakota state, texas, yale, penn state, clemson, nc state)
24: oklahoma is selected, gives no points (pushed in)
25: tulsa is selected, has no losses to teams remaining

Teams under consideration: boise state (5), virginia tech (5), southern utah (4), air force (4), cornell (3), eastern michigan (3), texas a&m (2), washington state (2), notre dame (2), dartmouth (1), georgia (1), lamar (0), north carolina (0), villanova (0), princeton (0), iowa state (0), south dakota state (0), florida (0), 
Others with points: ucla (6), columbia (6), colorado state (5), california (4), indiana (4), illinois (4), uc santa barbara (3), purdue (3), providence (3), wisconsin (3), portland (2), new mexico (2), stanford_B_team (2), akron (1), yale (1), navy (1), harvard (1), duke (1), san francisco (1), ohio state (1), cal poly (1), 
  no head-to-head tiebreaker for boise state and virginia tech (relevant meets: )
  virginia tech wins common opponents over boise state (common opponents: duke, wyoming, duquesne, colorado, air force, northern arizona, uc santa barbara, utah valley, minnesota, umkc, utep, iona, wisconsin, arizona state, southern utah, washington state, portland, iowa state, mississippi, south dakota, cornell, san jose state, oklahoma, byu, colorado state, louisville, north carolina, illinois, georgia tech, providence, eastern michigan, princeton, arkansas, ucla, michigan state, ohio state, indiana, san francisco, south dakota state, cal poly, utah state, georgetown, lamar, wake forest, columbia, tulsa, monmouth, pittsburgh, washington, michigan, virginia, oregon, furman, california, new mexico, eastern kentucky, dartmouth, akron, notre dame, syracuse, william and mary, boston college, purdue, miami, long beach state, stanford, florida state, harvard, texas, yale, penn state, clemson, nc state)
26: virginia tech is selected, has losses to (princeton_interregional) indiana, princeton, columbia; 

Teams under consideration: boise state (5), southern utah (4), air force (4), cornell (3), eastern michigan (3), texas a&m (2), washington state (2), notre dame (2), dartmouth (1), duke (1), princeton (1), georgia (1), lamar (0), north carolina (0), villanova (0), iowa state (0), south dakota state (0), florida (0), 
Others with points: columbia (7), ucla (6), colorado state (5), indiana (5), california (4), illinois (4), uc santa barbara (3), purdue (3), providence (3), wisconsin (3), portland (2), new mexico (2), stanford_B_team (2), akron (1), yale (1), san francisco (1), navy (1), harvard (1), cal poly (1), ohio state (1), 
27: washington state is selected, gives no points (pushed in)
28: boise state is selected, has losses to (roy_griak) southern utah, california, colorado state; (wisconsin_invite) ucla, columbia; (mountain_west) air force, colorado state; 

Teams under consideration: ucla (7), southern utah (5), air force (5), california (5), cornell (3), eastern michigan (3), texas a&m (2), notre dame (2), dartmouth (1), duke (1), princeton (1), georgia (1), lamar (0), north carolina (0), villanova (0), iowa state (0), south dakota state (0), florida (0), 
Others with points: columbia (8), colorado state (7), indiana (5), illinois (4), uc santa barbara (3), purdue (3), providence (3), wisconsin (3), portland (2), new mexico (2), stanford_B_team (2), akron (1), yale (1), san francisco (1), navy (1), harvard (1), cal poly (1), ohio state (1), 
ucla not selected with push (gets in later on their own)
  air force wins head-to-head tiebreaker over southern utah (relevant meets: prenats)
  no head-to-head tiebreaker for southern utah and california (relevant meets: prenats, roy_griak)
  california wins head-to-head tiebreaker over air force (relevant meets: prenats)
29: california is selected, has losses to (roy_griak) southern utah; (pac12s) ucla; 

Teams under consideration: ucla (8), southern utah (6), air force (5), cornell (3), uc santa barbara (3), eastern michigan (3), texas a&m (2), notre dame (2), dartmouth (1), duke (1), princeton (1), georgia (1), lamar (0), north carolina (0), villanova (0), iowa state (0), south dakota state (0), florida (0), 
Others with points: columbia (8), colorado state (7), indiana (5), illinois (4), purdue (3), providence (3), wisconsin (3), portland (2), new mexico (2), stanford_B_team (2), akron (1), yale (1), san francisco (1), navy (1), harvard (1), cal poly (1), ohio state (1), 
30: ucla is selected, has losses to (washington_invite) stanford_B_team; 

Teams under consideration: southern utah (6), cornell (3), uc santa barbara (3), eastern michigan (3), texas a&m (2), north carolina (0), villanova (0), iowa state (0), florida (0), 
Others with points: columbia (8), colorado state (7), air force (5), indiana (5), illinois (4), purdue (3), providence (3), wisconsin (3), stanford_B_team (3), portland (2), new mexico (2), notre dame (2), akron (1), yale (1), navy (1), harvard (1), duke (1), san francisco (1), dartmouth (1), georgia (1), princeton (1), ohio state (1), cal poly (1), 
31: southern utah is selected, has losses to (notre_dame_invite) colorado state; (prenats) air force, colorado state, uc santa barbara; 

Here is our results file:

regionals    = dict(
northeast    = [‘syracuse’,’iona’,’cornell’,’dartmouth’,’columbia’,’providence’,’yale’,’harvard’,’brown’],  # PROJECTED
midatlantic  = [‘georgetown’,’penn’,’villanova’,’princeton’,’penn state’,’navy’,’saint josephs’,’la salle’,’umbc’,’bucknell’],  # PROJECTED
southeast    = [‘louisville’,’virginia’,’eastern kentucky’,’furman’,’nc state’,’virginia tech’,’north carolina’,’duke’,’kentucky’],  # PROJECTED
south        = [‘florida state’,’mississippi’,’florida’,’georgia’,’auburn’,’alabama’,’middle tennessee’,’georgia tech’,’tennessee’],  # PROJECTED
southcentral = [‘arkansas’,’texas’,’texas a&m’,’lamar’,’stephen f austin’,’baylor’,’north texas’],  # PROJECTED
greatlakes   = [‘michigan’,’michigan state’,’eastern michigan’,’notre dame’,’indiana’,’wisconsin’,’akron’,’iupui’,’purdue’,’ohio state’],  # PROJECTED
midwest      = [‘oklahoma state’,’minnesota’,’oklahoma’,’tulsa’,’iowa state’,’south dakota state’,’kansas’,’illinois’,’bradley’,],  # PROJECTED
mountain     = [‘colorado’,’utep’,’byu’,’southern utah’,’air force’,’colorado state’,’wyoming’,’northern arizona’,’new mexico’,’weber state’],  # PROJECTED
west         = [‘washington’,’stanford’,’oregon’,’washington state’,’boise state’,’california’,’ucla’,’uc santa barbara’,’portland’,’gonzaga’,’san francisco’],  # PROJECTED
)

# season results, map name of meet to list of teams in order of place
meets = dict(
battle_in_beantown = [‘syracuse’,’dartmouth’,’purdue’,’cornell’,’georgia’,’harvard’,’florida state’,’brown’,’boston u’,’fordham’,’umass lowell’,’northeastern’],
panorama_farms     = [‘virginia’,’oklahoma’,’furman’,’yale’,’campbell’,’eastern kentucky’,’auburn’,’butler’,’liberty’,’high point’,’mississippi state’,’wake forest’],
paul_short         = [‘georgetown’,’villanova’,’buffalo’,’canisius’,’binghamton’,’saint josephs’,’lehigh’,’connecticut’,’umbc’,’american’,’umass’,’temple’],

texasam_invite         = [‘texas’,’north texas’,’missouri’,’texas a&m’,’stephen f austin’,’lamar’,’houston’],

crimson_classic         = [‘oklahoma state’,’texas a&m’,’lipscomb’,’auburn’,’north florida’,’alabama’,’ut arlington’],

princeton_interregional            = [‘indiana’,’princeton’,’columbia’,’virginia tech’,’providence’,’duke’, ‘north carolina’, ‘william and mary’, ‘duquesne’, ‘wake forest’, ‘monmouth’],

princeton_invitational            = [‘penn’,’villanova’,’la salle’,’umbc’,’pittsburgh’,’bucknell’],
greater_louisville = [‘iona’,’michigan’,’louisville’,’mississippi’,’illinois’,’eastern kentucky’,’wisconsin’,’penn state’,’lipscomb’,’davidson’],
notre_dame_invite  = [‘utep’,’nc state’,’colorado state’,’southern utah’,’purdue’,’eastern michigan’,’texas a&m’,’navy’,’new mexico’,’notre dame’,’penn’,’florida’,’iupui’,’bradley’,’indiana state’,’missouri’,’uc santa barbara’,’illinois state’,’arizona state’,’iowa’],

roy_griak          = [‘michigan state’,’southern utah’,’california’,’colorado state’,’minnesota’,’boise state’,’san francisco’,’south dakota state’,’wyoming’,’umkc’,’utah valley’,’long beach state’,’utah state’,’pittsburgh’,’south dakota’],
stanford_invite    = [‘stanford_B_team’,’cal poly’,’uc davis’,’san jose state’,’baylor’,’uc irvine’],
washington_invite  = [‘oregon’,’stanford_B_team’,’byu’,’ucla’,’air force’,’washington’,’portland’,’washington state’,’gonzaga’,’seattle’,’eastern washington’],
prenats            = [‘colorado’,’oregon’,’arkansas’,’utep’,’georgetown’,’virginia tech’, ‘california’, ‘air force’, ‘colorado state’, ‘uc santa barbara’, ‘louisville’, ‘southern utah’, ‘washington state’, ‘cornell’, ‘eastern michigan’, ‘texas’, ‘duke’, ‘san francisco’, ‘yale’, ‘purdue’, ‘ohio state’, ‘cal poly’, ‘akron’, ‘minnesota’],
wisconsin_invite   = [‘syracuse’,’byu’,’michigan’,’virginia’,’iona’,’furman’,’nc state’,’tulsa’,’ucla’,’columbia’,’boise state’,’michigan state’,’washington’,’eastern kentucky’,’providence’,’indiana’,’wisconsin’,’florida state’,’portland’,’illinois’,’stanford’,’oklahoma’,’new mexico’,’mississippi’,’dartmouth’,’south dakota state’,’notre dame’,’iowa state’,’north carolina’,’northern arizona’,’princeton’,’harvard’,’penn state’,’arizona state’,’lamar’,’william and mary’],
chile_pepper       = [‘arkansas’,’tulsa’,’wichita state’,’baylor’,’texas tech’],

aacs               = [‘tulsa’,’connecticut’,’houston’,’temple’],
accs               = [‘syracuse’,’nc state’,’virginia’,’virginia tech’,’louisville’,’notre dame’,’florida state’,’duke’,’north carolina’,’georgia tech’,’clemson’,’boston college’,’pittsburgh’,’wake forest’,’miami’],
big10s             = [‘michigan’,’illinois’,’minnesota’,’indiana’,’michigan state’,’penn state’,’purdue’,’wisconsin’,’ohio state’,’iowa’,’nebraska’,’rutgers’],
big12s             = [‘oklahoma state’,’oklahoma’,’texas’,’iowa state’,’kansas’,’kansas state’,’baylor’,’texas tech’,’tcu’],
bigeast            = [‘georgetown’,’villanova’,’providence’,’butler’,’marquette’,’creighton’,’xavier’,’depaul’,’seton hall’],
bigsky             = [‘southern utah’,’northern arizona’,’weber state’,’eastern washington’,’idaho state’,’montana’,’montana state’],
heps               = [‘columbia’,’penn’,’yale’,’cornell’,’princeton’,’dartmouth’,’harvard’,’brown’],
mountain_west      = [‘air force’,’colorado state’,’boise state’,’wyoming’,’new mexico’,’san jose state’],
pac12s             = [‘colorado’,’stanford’,’oregon’,’washington’,’ucla’,’washington state’,’california’,’arizona state’,’arizona’],
sec                = [‘arkansas’,’texas a&m’,’mississippi’,’kentucky’,’georgia’,’missouri’,’florida’,’auburn’,’alabama’,’mississippi state’,’tennessee’,’lsu’,’vanderbilt’],
wcccs              = [‘byu’,’portland’,’gonzaga’,’san francisco’],
)

 

 


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