1s v 7s wrote:
2:06.07 in 2018 is 3:10 behind the WR.
Rupp's 10k is just over 1 second per lap slower than the WR. Just over 4s per mile. His 2:06:07 is just over 7s per mile slower than the WR. The 10k was when Rupp was at his break of running. I don't see him, at his age, getting much closer to the WR. Maybe a 2:05.x, but unlikely to better KK's American Record.
I have no idea how you arrived at Rupp not being able to better 2:05:38 (which is only 29 seconds faster than what he just ran), but I would like to understand better. So you are saying that on a extremely flat Berlin course, with much fewer turns, and much fewer sharp turns, on a day that is 20 degrees colder, that Rupp couldn't run 30 seconds faster?? That's interesting!
If you didn't watch this race, I suggest watching it in length. It should tell you a lot of his potential.
You don't know much about running. Rupp's 10k PR was set on a flat track with a draft-horse to drag him along to victory. If (a very bog if) Rupp ran Berlin it would be a flat course, and assuming he had a personal draft-horse, he would not be able to get closer to the WR than he did for the 10k. Add to that that Rupp is OLDER and past the years of his peak abilities. So, he is UNLIKELY to manage to better KK's AR.