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YK92
RE: Wait, why is Kirui not the favorite?

El Keniano wrote:

Only an idiot would bet against Rupp in this race. Kirui's had some important wins but just doesn't have Rupp's kick and raw speed. It's why Daniel Wanjiru and Sammy Kitwara were able to easily streak away from him at the 2016 Amsterdam Marathon.

El Keniano, Kirui has great speed (26'55" for 10K when was only 18), very much comparable with Rupp. And we should not forget that the race in Amsterdam was a long time ago while Kirui was still learning the ropes. What was missing then was speed endurance and though he still got some ways to go on that, he employed it last year in both his wins and that made the difference. His coach Canova revealed that Kirui wasn't a fan of his intense speed & speed endurance developing training blocks and only ran from raw talent and long runs in his first two marathons.
So in short the Kirui of 2018 is an improved version of 2017''s and this for two reasons: His first win came in 2017 and once you win, you want to keep winning and the money that come with it. Related to this is the fact he has a chance to at least share in the WMM jackpot if he wins tomorrow.
The second reason Kirui is better this year is the fact that he realized Canova''s blocks do the "magic". So I am sure he indulged more and more in it, making him a "lethal" machine marathonwise.
That said, the weather tomorrow will greatly affect the outcome. It is very likely a little known wins the race. On the women side it's going to be tough for Ednah since she has a track record of not doing well in rain.

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