Where Your Dreams Become Reality
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Poster: learning from history
Subject: RE: Men's 1500 Final Strategies and Wishes
False, first guy takes 300m
Gives time for most of the other 5 to get in position
Next guy takes next 200m
First lap needs to be covered in 57 sec for the single file effect to take place.
By 400m all guys can be in place.
Next guy takes 200m
Next 2 take 150m (second lap in 57.x)
And last guy takes 100m
You have surely done that in training before
I have several times
We actually use to do it with 50m stints in the front...[/quote]
Yes, I have done something similar in training but obviously the pressure cooker of an Oly trails final is a different environment. For one thing, in training there are not 6 faster and more experienced guys hanging around that will do everything possible to be in the top 3.
And while your idea of an alliance is interesting, I can't see 4-5 guys with the discipline to pull it off in this situation. For some of these guys this will be the biggest race of their life. All it takes is for one guy to jump the gun or not play their part and the strategy falls apart.
I agree that the most likely scenario is for a slow pace with an all our sprint in the end, or one guy breaking away early. It also turns out that the faster guys - Andrews, Wheating, Centro, Manzano, are known for relying on their kick. I can see Torrence trying to make a strong move with 300-400 to go and hoping only 1 or 2 guys can keep pace.
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