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Poster: Yes I am being picky
Subject: RE: Is Rudisha the only lock on gold in London
Body:
Locksmith wrote:

I think he is a lock. Yes, the 800m is hard to predict. But, when you are a front runner and that much better than the field, you can dictate your own tactics. His style of racing is why he is a sure thing.

I say he is 95%, barring something like an injury.

I think Bolt is 90% in the 200m, 85% in the 100m.


Is it a "lock" if it's a <95% probability of winning (95% less the probability of injury)?

I think a "lock" = 100%. No one is ever a lock.
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