Where Your Dreams Become Reality
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Subject: RE: Attention: Even if Alan Webb does not make the team, he will still run very fast in Europe this summer
yeah i just think you are looking at it completely wrong. He is ignoring his past for psychological reasons, so that he's not comparing a 3:38 to a 3:30 and getting upset about it. It is still a physical fact that his body has gone 3:30 and he's still young and there is no reason why he can't do it again.
Its fine to look at him as a guy who has run 3:37 last year and 3:36 the year before, but you also have to take into account that he did the 3:37 in like the beginning of march last year and 3:36 the year before in the late summer after starting running in june. He didn't train a full year and run those, he ran those times off of fitness levels far below his peak because his training wasn't close to a full year's training. So it makes perfect sense that before he really starts getting sharp (and that's where he is now, just rounding into shape and not yet sharp) he's running mid to high 3:30's. Assuming he stays injury free this summer, what do you think is gonna happen when he actually starts getting in to race shape? He hasn't been in race shape since 2007.
If he had run 3:36 and 3:37 the past two years while getting in full training those two years then yes it would be out of the ordinary for him to get back to his old form. But 3:36,3:37,and now 3:38 show what he is capable of doing in early season shape (it's may 1st today, not august 1st).
I can see if you are skeptical that he'll stay healthy, but outside of 2003 and 2008, during which I can only assume overtraining, any time Alan get in consistent training he runs like you would expect anyone to run: to their potential.
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